I'll start this off tonight.+

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Nov 17 2005 1057pm

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=Dr+Gr...G=Google+Search

http://epw.senate.gov/hearing_statements.cfm?id=246768

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...pic=66209&st=20

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=66294

deltadog03

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showuser=2071

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...=0entry756098

http://epw.senate.gov/hearing_statements.cfm?id=246768

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=65643

Geographical Areas Clarified

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=66294

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...pic=66041&st=40

Computer Models

http://www.ucar.edu/research/tools/models.shtml

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2005/s2534.htm

Nov 18 2005 1147pm

00z NAM

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=66629

Snow "Quickguide": Surface Accumulation

The point at which snow is accumulateable is not debatable. Ok, it is. I just want to dismiss the easy "It's 32 degrees so it'll stick" without consideration for latent heat content all solid surfaces--especially around urban environments--still might possess at the onset of precipitation. This builds upon the material-driven Urban Heat Island Effect, whereby temperatures fall much more slowly and to less of a degree, than in exurban areas with less concrete. This following proposed TEMPERATURE-TIME "rule of thumb" has held fast for some meteorologists in the field as air temperatures fall through the 30s to bottom-out below the freezing mark--eventually allowing frozen precipitation to stick.

Even on warm days preceding snow storms, it only takes a sudden, cold air mass a few hours to cool solid materials such as asphalt & concrete. Specific heat plays a role, and sometimes you will notice metals on railings or car roofs gathering frozen precipitation first. This is because with metals, versus earthen material, absorption of heat is faster due to these materials having a lower capacity to even HOLD heat. The atmosphere easily cools metals down to 32ºF before the roads and sidewalks. And, even before metals, plants & grass respond to freezing temps first! Their ability to hold heat (heat capacity as expressed by Specific Heat for plant materials) is very small.

The Laws of Thermodynamics conclude "equilibrium in temperature" will be sought. Heat content quantity, or energy released, can indeed be large. But focusing on RATES: heat dissipation rates are constant within our Heat Sink (heat reservoir) atmosphere. The atmosphere possessing the most mass of anything on the surface of the earth, it drives the process of equilibrium in whatever direction it "chooses." Cold air will cool surfaces, Warm air will warm a surface. Physics will not allow metal or roads or houses to maintain their heat (or cold) content since we are all thermally connected to the Atmosphere.. it runs the show and is in charge of this system of energy transference!

This theory hypothesizes: It can be 65ºF and then once the surface air immediately above ground has maintained a constant temperature of ...

32 degrees for 6 hours ..

31 degrees for 5 hours ..

30 degrees for 4 hours ..

29 degrees for 3 hours ..

28 degrees for 2 hours ..

27 degrees for 1 hour .. before roads & sidewalks themselves reach down to 32ºF.

**26 degrees virtually results in extremely rapid heat dissipation of all surfaces. Road salt also enters a threshold whereby it doesn't work as effectively. A traveler would want to get off of the roads at or below 26 degrees if there is precipitation falling.

Gamma and the great East coast trough

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=66583

05/06 SNOWFALL CONTEST DEADLINE SATURDAY 11/19 23:59:59 hrs, NE.WX Seasonal Snowfall Contest: PUSU

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=65825

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Nov 21 2005

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