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Jeb

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DCA and F/M/A snowfall

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17615

 

 

(zwyts)One of the biggest issues with using statistical constructs to analyze weather is the determination of what is trivial versus what is meaningful. I may come up with one conclusion based on a set of data, while another set of seemingly meaningful data will lead to an opposite conclusion. There are ways to limit the triviality of data, but when it comes to weather it isn't easy, particularly in light of the fact that accurate records only go back to the late 1800's, thus limiting sample size. Nevertheless, we can try to come up with relevant, or at the very least, interesting ways of looking at possible weather outcomes.

 

So far this winter(through January 23rd) we have received 3.9" at DCA. Let us assume that we end January with 5" or less for the winter(I know, big assumption given several possibilities over the next week). Official snowfall records have been kept in DC since 1887-88, or 117 winters. Of those, 16 winters have had 3-5" at the end of January(average was 4.4"). This is about 4.5" shy of where we should be at the end of January(around 9"), or only 50% of normal. However, these 17 winters averaged 9.5" in February/March/April, about 2" above normal for that time period or about 130% of normal. Consequently, these 16 winters which averaged only about 50% of normal at the end of January, finished the winter at 14.1" or almost 90% of normal(16.2" is the seasonal average since the official measuring station was moved to DCA in the early 1940's). Certainly by no means conclusive and in fact potentially irrelevant come next Monday, January 31st should we get another decent snowfall, but for now another piece of hope for DC snow lovers.

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Lunchtime errand, picking up KU Vol I & II!!!

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17783

 

 

 

(hooralph)Gorgeous day here. 4 +" on the ground. I had a lunchtime errand to run - to return something over to the AMC headquarters on Beacon Hill. So I did something I've been meaning to do for quite sometime - call the AMS headquarters (located on Beacon Hill) and see if I could just pick up the Kocin book there. Sure enough, I could.

 

So I just had an amazing winter walk across the Public Garden and Boston Common - 2 + feet of fresh powder, much of it unbroken, with a light snow falling. Besides a bunch more pictures I'll post later, the fruits of my walk are now on my desk - our bible, as it is.

 

 

Classical post by hooralph.

 

I hope he gets nailed by record snows every winter 1000+ percent over BOS climo.

 

 

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WOW, What a classical EUSWX thread!

 

A Cape Cod Eastern Mass winter, Looks like New Foundland

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...22entry181422

 

 

 

 

Another great EUSWX thread. Wow what a tremendous sat pic of the Cape region after the Blizzard of 2005. No, I'm not gonna post the pic here, that sucker is way too BIG.

 

NASA Super Hi-RES Photo of MA/CT/RI

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17918

 

 

 

 

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For the southern crew...

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17921

 

(VAwxman)Big changes have occurred in the weather pattern recently that point to everyone being in the game for some wintry fun. All winter long we have seen the +NAO, which while not always necessary for southern snows, is extremely unfavorable. The Southeast ridge, along with its buddy, the ridge over southwestern Europe, seemed to be resistant to all attacks. Well, things have evolved nicely, and without reviewing everything, suffice it to say that this was the time we all were pointing to for some true winter. The NAO has gone negative for the first time, and has a chance at remaining that was at least for a little while, and the dreaded Southeast ridge has bitten the dust. In the last few days though, another critical piece of the puzzle has shown up. We will have more troughing in western Europe than we have seen in a more consistent fashion. End result of all of this is that, for now, those who always expect to see a northward shift in the models may be left disappointed. It's a different pattern now, for awhile anyway, with southern stream energy in play. That doesn't mean I expect the NOGAPS to verify, as it is extremely suppressed looking in any pattern. The point is, regardless of those who say the lower MA is not in play, these areas are in fact in the game. Different patterns put different people in play, and this pattern has at least opened the door for the rest of us who have been left out of the fun. Hopefully that door can stay open for awhile.

 

 

 

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Wow check out zwyts' snow pics!

OLD snow pics thread, 1973, 1983, 1996..UPDATE..PICS RESIZED

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...13entry182013

 

 

 

Current happenings, better than models

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17959

 

 

 

 

I will never call the ETA the Nam

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17927

 

 

 

 

 

NE AL/N GA/N SC/NC/VA First Call, PRECIP TYPES ONLY

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17942

 

 

 

 

East Coast gets crushed by the UKMET

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17915

 

 

 

 

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Brent broke his wrist

Check out MdWx's comments! ROFLMAO!!

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17964

 

 

 

 

 

Zwyts 2004-2005 Winter Outlook, Posted at WWBB on 9/13

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=6083&st=20

 

 

 

 

 

What would happen if the Earth stopped spinning?

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17974

 

 

 

 

 

 

Radar Trends.., profess analysis please?

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?ac...t=0#entry182275

 

 

 

 

 

 

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What exactly is a "brickhouse"

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=221

 

What can I say? Freaky's got the song down.

She's a brick----house

Mighty might just lettin' it all hang out

She's a brick----house

The lady's stacked and that's a fact,

Ain't holding nothing back.

 

She's a brick----house

She's the one, the only one,

Who's built like a black amazon

We're together everybody knows,

And here's how the story goes.

 

She knows she got everything

a woman needs to get a man, yeah.

How can she use, the things she use

36-24-36, what a winning hand!

 

She's a brick----house

Mighty might just lettin' it all hang out

She's a brick----house

The lady's stacked and that's a fact,

Ain't holding nothing back.

 

She's a brick----house

She's the one, the only one,

Who's built like a black amazon

We're together everybody knows,

And here's how the story goes.

 

The clothes she wears, the sexy ways,

Make an old man wish for younger days

She knows she's built and knows how to please

Sure enough to knock a man to his knees

 

She's a brick----house

Mighty might just lettin' it all hang out

She's a brick----house

The lady's stacked and that's a fact,

Ain't holding nothing back.

 

She's a brick----house

She's the one, the only one,

Who's built like a black amazon

We're together everybody knows,

And here's how the story goes.

 

Shake it down, shake it down now (repeat)

 

 

Eastern US Weather Forums are one hell of a trip!!! :lol:

 

 

 

 

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storm2k is the best wxboard on the net!!!

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18174

 

 

 

Eastern US Wx News - January 2005, Get it while it's hot!

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...pic=18072&st=20

 

 

 

Harrisburg Drivers are f*****g Morons

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18365

 

 

Coveted February is on the door step

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...pic=18424&st=20

 

 

 

Digital camera recommendations

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...=0entry187813

 

 

 

MY CALL: SAT/SUN EVENT, SNOW/ICE MAP -Ruggieweather

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18060

 

 

 

 

Obs GA/TN/SC/NC/AL/VA, Jan 28-29

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18139

 

 

 

 

Ok back from smack~~jittery, but not from that

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18371

 

 

 

 

Northern Va / DC/ MD/ PA Obs

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18302

 

 

 

 

 

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edh1981

 

This son of a bitch is a MAJOR LEAGUE fuckup no doubt.

 

First this bastard goes and posts pure bullshit about heavy snow on Jan 29.

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18298&st=0

 

 

Then today (Jan 30) he comes back with this shit about how his forecast verified.

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18437

 

Sure edh u just verified ur a first class asswipe, that's what just verified.

 

Check out his "snow map" on his so-called "weather site"

 

http://mysite.verizon.net/res8ugut/index.html

 

SOB's so fucked up his own asshole that he doesn't even have his own domain name!! How old is this first class douchebag? 12? 14? Whatever!!

 

Hey dicksucker ballblowing shitface sucker if you ever try to remove that sorry snowmap on ur shitty website, I've already got it on my server so don't even think to remove it. DEAL.

 

edh's sorry sig contains his so-called birthdate, 23 August 1981.

 

ROFLOMBO!!!!

 

Let me get this straight. edh1981 is a 23-year-old phallic sac? U gotta be kiddin' me. Ur 23 yrs old and u got that "weather website" that's all full of shit? And that unbelievable childish snowmap?

 

Please EUSWX, spare us...........BAN this douchebag immediately!!

post-22-1107133785.jpg

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