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Jeb

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  1. Review of the Feb 12-13 2014 snowstorm

     

    The experts like Bob Chill on the forum were watching this storm on the models from about a week out. The Euro showed the storm at least 5 days out. We had been burned by the "big snow" the weekend before, the unicorn snow, which turned into three inconsequential pieces of energy that ended up breaking our hearts. Thus we were honestly skeptical of this developing storm. We regularly get our hearts broken as storm appear on the models then they always find a way to screw DC.

     

    The models showed this storm from five days out. We remembered that all the big storms that hit DC had always been shown from 5 days out. This made some of us begin to hope, but there was always this strong healthy skepticism that comes from getting screwed over often by snows in DC winter after winter after winter.

     

    By Sunday night, three days out from the start of the event, I was watching the models too. I was avidly reading the forums. I forgot everything else in my life for about 4 days lol.

     

    Monday night the models were coming up with fantastic solutions for DC and vicinity. It was 'happy hour' and incredible euphoria reigned on the forums as we all imagined what 2.5 inches of water and two feet of snow would look like in our backyards.

     

    Of course the 12z runs brought us back to hard reality as they showed not so enthusiastic solutions. By Tuesday night we were all adjusting our expectations hard, zwyts setting the bar at 5-6 inches of snow.

     

    We were absolutely livin' and dyin' by model runs. We were high on cocaine then out on the ledge as the models thrashed out a solution. The damn good for shyte gfs was an outlier that we were all concerned might well turn out to verify.

     

    In the end the moderate solution worked out. By Wednesday afternoon we could see that we would get about 6 to 10 inches. Warnings were hoisted from Georgia to Maine. Over an inch of freezing rain fell in Georgia and South Carolina where civil emergencies were declared.

     

    NWS was uncertain about pulling the trigger on warnings for the lwx forecast area. The Nam won them over by 10pm Wed night and they hoisted warnings for 6 to 10 inches of snow. At one point they increased the forecast to 10-14 inches. DT and Justin Berk developed fantastic snow maps that verified! I wa sso impatient and fed up with the NWS being reluctant to hoist a WSW for my county that I posted a sarcastic message in the forums concerning NWS about sadistic forecasters holding back our winter storm warning but NWS warning everyone else, that was promptly removed by a mod since we were in storm mode lol.

     

    I was so concerned about heavy wet snows on cold roads that I rushed thru my workout Wednesday afternoon and missed several lebs as well as missing lots of exercises. My friends watched with amusement as I thoroughly panicked because I was scared to death to be caught out on the roads in heavy wet snow on cold roads. By 5pm I had fled home in total fear, because I had had my head so deep up the models' a$$ that I totally failed to realize that the 25 degree high temp on Wednesday would keep the snowfall from being wet lmao. Between 4pm and 430 the dewpoints suddenly increased from 8 degrees, to 15 degrees. My panic intensified. The column was moistening and tons of heavy wet snow would suddenly hit the roads - and I was still out on them!

     

    My panic increased as I saw virga moving over Dale City as early as 330pm. OMG it's gonna hit EARLY! I went out in the back yard and set up rulers and one MASSIVE snow stake with inches marked out in three inch increments with bright colored duct tape. I set duct tape up at the one foot level on the chain link fence posts and also made thick black marks at the 12 inch level on the front yard fence posts. I measured features in the back yard and noticed that the car undercarriage was 7 inches above the driveway, I oiled all my square edged construction grade shovels. I devoured an entire carton of soft chocolate chip cookies to pile on the carbs since I was about to dig Dale City out of the snow all by myslef. Well, the cookies promptly put me to sleep and I damn near missed the beginning of the storm at 7pm lmao.

     

    The damn snow finally reached the ground at 706pm in Dale City. Twenty minutes before, everyone in the lwx cfa was reporting snow and I was close to panic.

     

    The temps fell to 22 degrees. The roads were cold as hell. Every flake stuck. Roads and sidewalks turned instantly white. Light snow continued for a couple hours.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

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  2. 5 inch snow Tuesday January 21 2014

     

    I am writing this on Jan 31. We have seen 11 days of snow cover since this snow fell. It has been very cold since.

     

    In the morning, temps fell to 29 degrees from the night before. The snow may have started at 9am. I did not wake up til 1030am. I saw some light snow that briefly became moderate. We picked up half an inch by 1030am that accumulated to an inch then we got stuck with pixie dust that fell thickly. Temps fell through the 20s all afternoon. The only reason the pixie dust did accumulate as much as it did, was because we had such COLD temps throughout the snow. By 2pm it was 25 degrees, by 5pm it was 22 degrees. We got pixie dust for hours this afternoon. Maryland got snow bands all afternoon because most of the frontogenetical forcing was over them, just as models had indicated about 6 hours before the start of the snowstorm. The RAP and HRRR tend to pick these details up very close to the start of a storm. The green banding over Maryland finally expanded and became a green blob that started to move southeastward. We finally got a green band with pretty sick rates around 645pm. Snow became outright heavy with 2 inch an hour rates. By the time the green band finally hit us, the pixie dust had accumulated to 2.5 inches with 20 degree temps by 630pm. When the green band hit us, temps fell to 17 degrees with 15 dewpoints. By 815pm when the band went by and snow tapered off, we had gotten 5 inches of snow. This is the biggest snow we have seen in three years, since the psuhoffman snow in Jan 2011 which dumped 5.5 inches of heavy wet snow on us which broke a lot of pine branches and left many pine saplings forever bowed over. This was one of the coldest snows we had seen since the 1980s, until a surprise snow on Jan 28-29 which snowed at 9 degrees which is the coldest snowstorm I have ever personally experienced.

     

    This snowstorm had some winds as well. Not only was it running in the low 20s for much of the storm but we had N winds which gusted to 37 mph which blew much snow off the roofs and along the ground which produced drifts and near whiteout conditions at times. It was like a milkshake froth lol. That made this particular storm very fun.

     

    On Monday Jan 27 we had a warm spike. That morning at 5am it rose to 36 degrees. Later that morning we hit 55 degrees, probably around 930am or so until the polar front smashed into us around 1030am from reports and we fell to 41 degrees by 1230pm when I woke up. It got most of the areal snowpack, about 75 percent of it. By 330pm we had fallen to 31 degrees with 5 degree dews and NNW wind gusts to 35 mph.

     

    The Jan 21 5 inches and Jan 28 2 inches tended to overlap somewhat with limited snowpack areal coverage by the time the Jan 28 2 inch surprise hit us but those 2 new inches reestablished the snowpack for at least another day.

     

    By Jan 31 we had had 11 days of patchy to full areal snow cover, with a total of 23 days including Jan 31. We just might manage to pull out one more day tomorrow.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

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  3. Surprise 2 inch snow late Jan 28-early Jan 29 2014

     

     

    A storm was developing along an arctic boundary that stalled in North Carolina. This same boundary extended into the northern Gulf of Mexico and into Texas. There was horrific ice and sleet and snow all along this boundary F from Austin OBX. There was snow farther north as well. SE VA and parts of NE NC got 8-10 inches of snow. Late in the day today, models indicated the precip shield would move farther north into N VA.

     

    Last night, and early on the 28th at 3am I saw this SW to NE line of snow form from DC to the TN/NC state border. It was not snowing but the radar indicated it. It first showed up at 8pm on the 27th, then again at 3am the next morning. By 5am the line had gotten wider.

     

    By noon there was rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow bands down in NC, SE VA. There was a band of snow over C VA and another over N VA.

     

    It was cloudy all day here with highs only around 14 degrees. The wind made it feel like -5. It was very COLD. Mid level clouds lowered and thickened all afternoon.

     

    By 6pm the band over N VA had expanded in areal extent. At that time the temps were 13 degrees with dewpoints near -8. I thought it would not snow because of all the dry air. In fact I made a ridiculous statement on American to the effect that we would not see snow because of the dry air. Well, I was dead WRONG.

     

    Models had shifted the precip north some, and a shortwave was set to move across VA overnight, and though we only had a tenth of an inch of water equivalent to work with, it did snow, beginning at 930pm. The snow stuck, from flake 1. The ground was frozen and roads were cold. Snow fell for five hours, moderate at times. The dewpoint rose to 6 above zero while the dry bubd temps fell from 12 degrees, to 9 degrees. This is the first time I have ever seen snow fall at 9 degrees. It was a historic moment.

     

    We ended up with 2 inches of fluffy, glittery snow that turned the lawns white again and covered the roads and all surfaces. It was 9 degrees and 20 to 1 snow to water ratios were in play which meant that one tenth of an inch of water translated to 2 inches of fluffy snow. The winds were light. The snow was easy to measure.

     

    I had not expected snow from this SE VA storm. It was a total surprise. It was fun to watch the snow fall and accumulate at only 9 degrees. It brought my seasonal totals to 12 inches. That surpasses the 2011-12 and 2012-13 winters, and it is about the same as the 2010-11 winter when we got around 12 inches on the season.

     

    The snow ended at 245am. The low was 8. There were a lot of happy people in northern Virginia, Maryland and Delaware from this snow. Many of us had not expected it, though we wanted it.

     

    The day after this snow, some of it melted, it was only a fluffy 2 inch snow, it was in the teens but it still blew or melted. The day after that more of it melted. The north facing lawns looked spectacular with over three inches of snow ( they had snow from the last 5 inch snow on Jan 21). Even the Glendale Valley sidewalks stayed snow covered.

     

    Wed Jan 29 we hit 24, low 8

    Thursday Jan 30 we hit 31, low19.

    On Fri Jan 31 more areal snow melted because we hit 45 degrees but the ground was still so cold and frozen that snow held on in shaded places and to the north of sun blocking objects like houses. We pulled out at least three days of snow cover after this 2 inch snow, today Jan 31 being the 3rd day.

     

     

     

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  4. 2013-2014 winter weather.

     

     

    Posted in the December Banter Thread 2, Page 25, post 874

    http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41896-december-banter-thread-2/?p=2533314

     

    State of the snowpack - December 11 2013

    Its barely mid December and Woodbridge already has 2 inches of snow and sleet on grassy surfaces. The snowpack is composed of an inch of glaciated snow and sleet, with another inch of compacted, frozen snow on top.

    The ground is surface frozen which supports the snow/sleetpack. An anomalous frigid airmass over the eastern two thirds of the US will likely preserve this snow/sleetpack for at least part of the week.

    Plows have piled up piles of sleet and snow as much as three feet tall. Tonight these will freeze fairly hard as temps fall to near 20 degrees.

    If this anomalously cold pattern continues, we could hold on to snowpack into next week. This is early for northeastern Virginia and is not indicated by climatology. This weather pattern is much more representative of late January.

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    This is the post to use for the description of the Dec 8-9 2013 snow/sleet/zr storm.

     

    Sunday December 8 2013 snow and sleet storm.

     

    It had two parts. The first part was snow and sleet from 7am to 2pm which then mixed with ZR.

    We had FZDZ into the evening then the 2nd part of the storm was freezing rain which steadily fell from 9pm to 5am.

    The temperature during the day was in the 20s and rose to 30, where it remained into 4am.

    The snow and sleet accumulated an inch. The afternoon ZR then iced up the snow/sleetpack and soaked it.

    The ZR lin the evening into the overnight accreted a third of an inch of ice over the existing snowpack. The ice accumulation brought down branches and caused power outages. Pine tree branches were the hardest hit by the ice. I saw pine branches at least 6 inches in diameter that had been snapped off.

    The snow and sleet in the first part of the storm readily accumulated on roads as well as grassy areas. The sleet piled up on roads despite initial road temperatures in the low 40s.

    Models progged temperatures to rise above freezing at 9Z which is 4am EDT Dec 9. The temperatures stayed at or below freezing until after sunrise.

    The high on the 9th was only 34 degrees. It stayed cloudy. Some ice melted but much of it remained on the trees and on roads, sidewalks, cars, fences and bushes well into the day. The third of an inch of ice was difficult to remove from cars, particularly if the snow and sleet had been removed before the nighttime icing started.

    I missed getting to go to the R and get my Bailey and opp some lebs. It would have been a very good day to Bailey and get AD cycles because there would have been very few ppl around. Jon said they closed at 3pm Sunday.

    Tuesday December 10 2013 snowstorm

    Models had indicated 4-6 inches of snow which was supposed to start at 7am, perhaps mixing with sleet at the onset.

    The snow started around 7ish. I woke up at 830am and noticed about a half inch of snow on roads and grass, then heard the ping of sleet mixed in with the snow. We also had a period of very light snow and sleet between 830am and 1030am. Then the snow picked up and fell moderately through at least 1130am but the boundary layer temps were marginal, around 32. The upper level low was moving very fast and the snow was over by noon. I slept til 230pm then saw the sun was out, temps rose to 38 degrees and the snow on the roads and sidewalks melted but we had picked up an inch and a half od fresh snow on cartops and on top of the inch of glacier from 2 days ago.

    We've had three days of snow cover - The snow/sleet and ZR that fell Sunday Dec 8 stuck around thru Dec 9 into this event which added another inch and a half of snow for three days so far of snow cover. This week is progged to be pretty cold. We might hold on to the snowpack for another few days.

    Higher elevations such as where Trixie lives near CharlesTown got 4 inches of snow. FDK got about 5-6 inches of snow. They got more banding, just like the Rap had indicated.

    Jan 28 2014

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability
    12/17/13...surprise 1/2" SN
    1/3/14...2" SN
    1/21/14...5" SN
     
    12 inches of snow 2013-14 season --- 22 days of snow cover
     
     <p> 

     

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  5. As of 840pm Mon Dec 9 2013 when I first cleaned up my sig on American Wx Forums for the new 2013-2014 winter

     

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability
    12/8/13...1" SN/IP then a third of an inch ZR
    Final version for today:

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability
    12/8/13...1" SN/IP + 1/3 inch ZR

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

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  6. It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

  7. It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability
    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located
    everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max,
    the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level
    moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I
    am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before.

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located
    everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max,
    the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level
    moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I
    am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before.

     

    ---------------------------
  8. It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

    /b]It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before.[/b] baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    [/b]It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before.[/b] baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

     

     

     

    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located
    everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max,
    the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level
    moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I
    am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before.
    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located
    everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max,
    the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level
    moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I
    am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before.

     

     

     

     

     

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  9. WINTER 2013-2014

     

     

     

     

    Existing sig on American Wx Forums

     

     

     

     

     

    Thats a great sign. Wes is the medical examiner of this board. He shows up, delivers a grim prognosis and picks up the body. As long as the prospects are alive and kicking no need for the toe tag guy. CRAZYBLIZZARD


    It is like atmospheric magic. A meteorologist could not have co-located everything at once at the same time over one area. Tanking mid level heights with the incoming PV max, the most divergent portion of that upper jet coupling, strong 600-800 frontal forcing, strong low level moist theta-e advection into the frontal circulation, and extreme convergence into the low level cyclone. I am thinking this is going to be ripping heavy TSSN over N IL like nothing before. baroclinic_instability

    This is a pretty nasty combination of a pretty good thermodynamic environment with some excellent shear. Fairly steep ML lapse rates combining with increase low-level WAA and moisture transport and increasing theta-e is really helping to not only keep things unstable but helping to destabilize the atmosphere even further!
    Supercell composite parameter is 20 with sig tor of 4...that's insane for this time of night. You even have Dcape values over 1000 J/KG.
    weatherwiz


    12.24.12 - Hour or so of snow showers, no accums. | 12/26/12 - 0.25" snow |1.23.13 - 1.5 inch snow, 1.25.13 T 2 days snow cover
    3 days snow cover so far in 2012-2013 winter

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  11. American Weather Forums started on or about Nov 12 2010.

     

    EUSWX was reset sometime before Nov 12 2010.

     

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    This is my first American Wx Forums sig of note:

     

    Circa Dec 22-30 2010

     

     

    Killer cold/snowy December for the East thanks to a MONSTROUS Blockbuster -NAO/-AO combo lasting thru January 2011! BRING IT ON!!! Hell Yeah!! Lovin' this atypical La Nina!

    Dec 15: High 32 Low 9 Dewpoint 0 degrees

    Dec 16: High 25 Low 13 Dewpoint 12 then 20 in the snow; Dec 16: 2 inches snow, Low 20s conds.

    Profound surface frigidization evident; many ponds frozen. Don't try to ice skate on 'em yet though

    Save yourself a lot of unnecessary worry - If the model solution you want (the snowy solution) is complicated - It likely won't verify.

    That being said..this is a very fragile setup. I've said it several times. Somebody can sneeze near the MS river and mess up the phase. earthlight

    Get over the bust. There is potential on the horizon but make no mistake...winter patterns tend to repeat themselves. We could easily get screwed again this winter the exact same way. Get tough and grow some skin. We are going to need it. Ji

     

     

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    http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/6741-fyi-someguy-dt-has-left-the-building/page__view__findpost__p__204523

    MJW 155

    Meh, this has been going on since before WWBB. He can't handle being criticized. He's arrogent and condescending but when he's wrong, he runs for the hills. It goes both ways. I mean every Met is wrong from time to time. It's human nature. But DT will openly mock people for not understanding his thoughts and when it's wrong he does not know how to admit it.

     

    I think he's entertaining and I never really had problems with him. But as an outsider looking at what he goes through, he reaps what he sows sometimes. He did it on ne.weather, WWBB, Eastern and now here. It's a broken record.

     

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    Edjamacating myself while sucking the life out of people.

     

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    Kach posted a pic of the snow on American WxForums

    http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/6625-someone-shut-bloomberg-the-hell-up/page__view__findpost__p__200471

     

    Pic has been saved to PICS.

     

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  12. I am preparing to develop multimedia blogs. I'll be listing pertinent links and information here. Non members and members will be allowed to reply to topics here for now.

     

    Spammers will be immediately BANNED, no questions asked. If Guests abuse their privileges in this forum, I will suspend those privileges. I will not stand for any spamming.

     

     

     

     

     

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  13. Part Deux

     

    British petroleum is a f#cking joke. Tony Hayward, BP CEO, should be summarily shot. The mood among Americans has turned decidedly fugly as the economic impacts are already staggering and Americans get the feeling that BP doesn't give a damn one way or the other. Obama had better get on the ball or it's going to get extremely ugly fast. Libs can spin this all they want but there is no way to cover up a disaster this severe. Own up, put up or shut the hell up - permanently. BP claimed in 2008 that they could contain an oil spill TEN TIMES the size of the one presently in the Gulf. What a bunch of arrogant morons. Their stock is going straight down as the public begins to realize that all BP ever has to offer is a lot of hot air and lies and obfuscation.

     

     

    Gulf oil spill has BP in crosshairs of AG Eric Holder, Obama to talk with spill investigators

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_gulf_oil_spill_has_bp_in_crosshairs_of_ag_eric_holder_obama_to_talk_with_spill_i.html

     

    The White House oil spill public relations offensive

    http://voices.washingtonpost.com/postpartisan/2010/06/the_white_house_oil-spill_publ.html

     

    The Gulf Under Siege!

    http://www.eontarionow.com/international/2010/06/01/the-gulf-under-siege/

     

     

    OIL SPILL PICS

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/galleries/louisiana_oil_spill/louisiana_oil_spill.html

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/galleries/louisiana_oil_spill/louisiana_oil_spill.html

     

    Oil slick in Gulf of Mexico is a financial and ecological time bomb

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2010/05/01/2010-05-01_oil_slick_in_gulf_of_mexico_is_a_financial_and_ecological_time_bomb.html

     

    Fears that BP cannot contain oil spill wipe $23 BILLION off company's value

    http://www.nydailynews.com/money/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_fears_that_bp_cannot_contain_oil_spill_wipe_23_billion_of_companys_value.html

     

    BP told government in 2008 it could handle oil spill 10 times the size of one plaguing Gulf

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_bp_told_government_in_2008_it_could_handle_oil_spill_10_times_the_size_of_one_pl.html

     

    Oil spill disaster: Tar Ball Shot is hottest drink on Grand Isle - with Oil Slick Daiquiri on tap

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_a_tar_ball_to_drown_your_sorrows.html

     

    Gulf oil spill has BP in crosshairs of AG Eric Holder, Obama to talk with spill investigators

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_gulf_oil_spill_has_bp_in_crosshairs_of_ag_eric_holder_obama_to_talk_with_spill_i.html

    Ugly, very FUGLY oil pic!

     

    Obama orders more manpower to spill cleanup

    http://www.cnn.com/2010/US/06/01/gulf.oil.spill/index.html?hpt=T1

     

     

    Oil spill threatens Native American land

    http://www.cnn.com/2010/US/06/01/oil.spill.native.americans/index.html?hpt=C1

     

    GULF COAST OIL SPILL - CNN COVERAGE

    http://www.cnn.com/SPECIALS/2010/gulf.coast.oil.spill/

     

    Fears that BP cannot contain oil spill wipe $23 BILLION off company's value

    http://www.nydailynews.com/money/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_fears_that_bp_cannot_contain_oil_spill_wipe_23_billion_of_companys_value.html

    LOOK TO SEE MANY, MANY MORE PICS LIKE THIS ONE

     

    BP facing criminal charges as Attorney General probes negligence over Gulf oil spill

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_president_obama_bp_could_face_criminal_charges_over_gulf_oil_spill.html

     

    Gulf oil spill: Vandal smears black paint over Manhattan BP gas station sign

    http://www.nydailynews.com/ny_local/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_gulf_oil_spill_vandal_smears_black_paint_over_manhattan_bp_gas_station_sign.html

     

    Oil bigwig BP drops $7 billion on Devon Energy's oil fields

    http://www.nydailynews.com/money/2010/03/11/2010-03-11_oil_bigwig_bp_drops_7_billion_on_devon_energys_oil_fields.html

     

    Oil spills and hurricanes don't mix! Gulf region braces for worst as hurricane season starts

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_oil_spills_and_hurricanes_dont_mix_gulf_region_braces_for_worst_as_hurricane_sea.html

     

    Criminal Investigation Under Way in BP Gulf Spill (Update4)

    http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-06-01/criminal-investigation-under-way-in-bp-gulf-spill-update4-.html

     

    http://www.businessweek.com/

     

    http://popwatch.ew.com/2010/06/01/james-cameron-oil-spill/

     

     

    Spill Draws Criminal Probe

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704875604575280983140254458.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

     

     

    Obama Vows Changes to Laws to Prevent Future Spills (Update1)

    http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-06-01/obama-vows-changes-to-laws-to-prevent-future-spills-update1-.html

     

    BP Seeks to Divert Oil Flow Until Relief Well Is Done (Update1)

    http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-06-01/bp-seeks-to-divert-oil-flow-until-relief-well-is-done-update1-.html

     

    Facebook, Twitter Users Vent Wrath Over Oil Spill

    http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/jun2010/tc2010061_650057.htm

     

    http://www.google.com/search?ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&sourceid=navclient&gfns=1&q=gulf+oil+spill

     

     

    MSNBC's BP OIL SPILL COVERAGE

    http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/36947751/

     

     

    WARNING: THESE ARE HEARTBREAKING PICS

    Gulf Oil Spill (PHOTOS): Animals In Peril

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/05/03/gulf-oil-spill-photos-ani_n_560813.html

     

     

    A volcano of oil erupting

    http://pesn.com/2010/05/13/9501651_a_volcano_of_oil_erupting/

     

    BP Better At Stemming Journalists Than Oil Wells

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/05/25/bp-better-at-stemming-jou_n_589260.html

     

    BP reaches key 'milestone' in halting Gulf oil leak

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/10230252.stm

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    -----------------------

  14. I'll be adding links to this page with time.

     

    This is a major national ecological catastrophe.

    It will also contribute to a deepening financial/economic crisis in the US.

    It is a developing health crisis for the Gulf States and Florida and may eventually involve the East Coast.

     

    HUFFINGTON POST - BP OIL SPILL

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/news/bp-oil-spill

     

    Louisiana Police Pull Over Activist at Behest of BP

    http://motherjones.com/rights-stuff/2010/06/BP-louisiana-police-stop-activist

     

    The Fate of the Internet -- Decided in a Back Room

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/timothy-karr/the-fate-of-the-internet_b_620690.html

     

    Oil Disaster Will Be End of Life As We Know It

    http://johndotyjr.blogspot.com/2010/06/oil-disaster-will-be-end-of-life-as-we.html

     

     

     

     

    Transcript: Obama talks about oil spill response

    http://www.cnn.com/2010/POLITICS/06/15/transcript.obama.speech/index.html

     

     

    Drill, Drill, Drill by Brent Burns

    http://www.ireport.com/docs/DOC-456247?hpt=C2

     

    US naval expert with ideas to stop oil spill ignored by BP

    http://theflucase.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=3691:us-naval-expert-with-ideas-to-stop-oil-spill-ignored-by-bp&catid=1:latest-news&Itemid=64&lang=en#CommentForm

     

    Toxic Oil Spill Rains Warned Could Destroy North America

    http://www.eutimes.net/2010/05/toxic-oil-spill-rains-warned-could-destroy-north-america/

     

    Oil giant BP gave millions to Capitol Hill coffers: federal records

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2010/05/30/2010-05-30_gas_co_pumps_millions_into_dc_coffers.html

     

    Oil companies gave sex, drinks, gifts to federal overseers

    http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2008/09/10/52243/oil-companies-gave-sex-drinks.html

     

     

     

    BP's Media Clampdown Continues: Activist Hassled By Louisiana Police (VIDEO)

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/06/22/bps-media-clampdown-conti_n_621497.html

     

     

    Gulf Oil Spill Time-Lapse Video From NASA Satellites Is Haunting (VIDEO)

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/06/26/gulf-oil-spill-time-lapse_n_626600.html

     

     

     

    How Crude Oil Can Harm You

    Crude oil is a complex mixture of chemicals that can affect your brain, skin, lungs and nervous system.

    http://news.discovery.com/human/crude-oil-harms-humans.html

     

    --------

    THE GIST

     

    Crude oil toxins can attack your body in many ways at once.

    Children and pregnant women are especially at risk.

    Medical officers are already studying illnesses among oil recovery workers in the Gulf.

    --------

     

    Swimming in crude-slicked waters is an unsavory prospect at best and one that is most definitely unhealthful, although the molecular mechanics of why crude is so dangerous to humans are poorly understood, say toxics researchers.

     

    Crude oil is a complex mixture of petrochemicals that includes all the most dangerous chemicals in gasoline, plus plenty of others -- clearly not something you want to be coated in.

     

    "A lot of those chemicals are neurotoxins, which means they affect the brain," said Tracey Woodruff, an associate professor and director of the Program on Reproductive Health and the Environment at the University of California at San Francisco.

     

    Dizziness, euphoria, nausea, blurry vision and headaches are a few of the short-term effects of such compounds as benzene, toluene, and xylenes, which are also found in gasoline. The symptoms can be a lot like a very bad case of alcohol poisoning, she said, which also foul up the workings of the nervous system.

     

    There are long-term health dangers too. Benzene, in particular, has been tied to adult leukemia and other cancers. Benzene does this by entering cells and damaging DNA material, Woodruff said, although the specifics are not well understood.

     

    What makes crude oil potentially even more dangerous, however, is that it contains so many toxic chemicals that can all attack the body at once, Woodruff explained.

     

    "The combination can, in many cases, have more effect," Woodruff said. "It's like getting hit from different sides -- right hook, left hook and on top of the head."

     

    This sort of multiple attack is less well understood, as most studies tend to focus on one chemical at a time.

     

    Another variable is how differently the toxins can affect different sorts of people.

     

    "It definitely would be worse for children to be exposed," said Woodruff. Infants and even unborn children could also be seriously harmed because the neurotoxins can interfere with brain development, she said.

     

    Many of the toxins in crude oil can be absorbed directly through the skin or lungs, so the only way to avoid them is to keep away or wear protective gear like specially-designed respirators, boots, gloves and suits.

     

    Workers already involved in the clean up are particularly at risk, of course, and they are already reporting symptoms of all sorts, including physical injuries from slipping on the oil, plus heat and fatigue, according to the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH).

     

    A NIOSH team of two industrial hygienists (specialists in workplace hazards) and two medical officers arrived in Louisiana on June 2 to evaluate illnesses and injuries among groups of offshore workers. The Louisiana Department of Health and Hospitals has also agreed to provide medical reports of seven previously hospitalized fishermen for the study.

     

    "NIOSH is working with OSHA, Coast Guard, and others to collect and analyze data about the exposures that the Deepwater Horizon response workers may be encountering in various stages of activity (offshore and onshore), and symptoms that response workers are reporting," said Fred Blosser, a spokesman for NIOSH.

     

    "We're working intensely, and data collection/analysis are in progress. This will give us a basis for assessing potential hazards in various operations, and making recommendations."

     

    As for the handful of journalists who have decided to throw caution to the wind and swim in the muck unprotected, it's just unwise, Woodruff explained. "It seems like something even the birds are trying to avoid."

     

     

     

     

    CNN COVERAGE ON OIL SPILL

    http://www.cnn.com/SPECIALS/2010/gulf.coast.oil.spill/

     

    HUFFINGTON POST has some great articles on this oil spill

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/

     

     

    Gulf Oil Spill Response: 'Tent Cities' Built For Cleanup Crews

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/05/30/gulf-oil-spill-response-t_n_595011.html

     

    FROM THE COMMENTS:

     

    kirkland 4 hours ago (6:10 PM)

    16 Fans

    "I am ENRAGED as i hear about the workers getting sick. they are showing signs of oil toxicity ( which can come from oil, gasolene, petroleum distillates ). Their faces may be burning, their lips also. They are going to need to be detoxed/ chelated with some significant medicines OR they will likely face neurological damage and increased serious illness. They will be SENSITIVE FOREVER once they reach their body burden for toxicity. Telling them not to inhale it is wise but absurd. they need to be wearing respirators if they cleaning it up. NO ONE is telling them about what they face as a result of exposure. No one is protecting them nor educating them so that they may protect themselves. I happen to know because I was exposed to a vat of heating oil left outside by a slumlord years back. I got very sick. I was tested and underwent a lengthy protocol. Oil is so toxic it is beyond frightening that this continues unabated. I hope that any worker who gets sick retains counsel. The US gov. is dropping the ball. OSHA and other Health Regulatory agencies are probably clueless. It took a specialist to discover why my face felt was burning , my lips on fire. Nausea, headaches, radiating pain and burning in odd places , respiratory distress, gastro intestional distress."

     

    norkas 7 hours ago (3:07 PM)

    64 Fans

    "If it can be verified that BP will fire anyone who has a respirator or protective clothing it is time for all of us to contribute in a movement to have this person fired and start will an aggressive PR campaign against this company on this subject."

     

    plaidsportcoat 20 hours ago (1:54 AM)

    127 Fans

    Read this about how BP will FIRE workers who wear respirators:

     

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/riki-ott/at-what-cost-bp-spill-res_b_578784.html

     

     

    plaidsportcoat 20 hours ago (1:40 AM)

    127 Fans

    "IF CLEANUP WORKERS SHOW UP WITH PROTECTIVE CLOTHING ON - THEY ARE FIRED.

    Call your Senators, Congress people on this! And call the White House on that, too. The OSHA regulations have been stripped so badly that they do not require people to use protective clothing around OIL!! Call Obama on that - and tell him to get his OSHA people on this. The workers are desperate for work since their entire income has been demolished so they won't wear the protective gear. I can't understand that particular mentality, it seems so suicidal since they already can see lots of people having respiratory effects from simply the FUMES, much less wading and boating in it."

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    At What Cost? BP Spill Responders Told to Forgo Precautionary Health Measures in Cleanup

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/riki-ott/at-what-cost-bp-spill-res_b_578784.html

     

    EXCERPT:

     

    Venice, Louisiana -- Local fishermen hired to work on BP's uncontrolled oil leak in the Gulf of Mexico are scared and confused. Fishermen here and in other small communities dotting the southern marshes and swamplands of Barataria Bay are getting sick from the working on the cleanup, yet BP is assuring them they don't need respirators or other special protection from the crude oil, strong hydrocarbon vapors, or chemical dispersants being sprayed in massive quantities on the oil slick.

     

    Fishermen have never seen the results from the air-quality monitoring patches some of them wear on their rain gear when they are out booming and skimming the giant oil slick. However, more and more fishermen are suffering from bad headaches, burning eyes, persistent coughs, sore throats, stuffy sinuses, nausea, and dizziness. They are starting to suspect that BP is not telling them the truth.

     

     

     

    BP 'systemic failure' endangers Gulf cleanup workers

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/mcclatchy/20100529/pl_mcclatchy/3519831;_ylt=AkQ1lIJ7VVd6DRBzGwWkKqeyFz4D;_ylu=X3oDMTJnZjMydmw1BGFzc2V0A21jY2xhdGNoeS8yMDEwMDUyOS8zNTE5ODMxBGNwb3MDMgRwb3MDMTQEc2VjA3luX3RvcF9zdG9yeQRzbGsDYnAzOXN5c3RlbWlj

     

     

    EXCERPT:

     

    WASHINGTON — Federal regulators complained in a scathing internal memo about "significant deficiencies" in BP's handling of the safety of oil spill workers and asked the Coast Guard to help pressure the company to address a litany of concerns.

     

    The memo, written by a Labor Department official earlier this week and obtained by McClatchy , reveals the Obama administration's growing concerns about potential health and safety problems posed by the oil spill and its inability to force BP to respond to them.

     

    BP said it's deployed 22,000 workers to combat the spill, which experts now estimate has spewed 37 million gallons of crude oil into the Gulf of Mexico . At this point, much of the oil remains offshore.

     

    David Michaels , the assistant secretary of labor for occupational safety and health who wrote the memo, raised the concerns on Tuesday, the day before seven oil spill workers on boats off the coast of Louisiana were hospitalized after they experienced nausea, dizziness and headaches.

     

    Late Friday, the disaster response team sent four more workers to the hospital by helicopter, including two with chest pains.

     

    In his memo to Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen , Michaels said his agency has witnessed numerous problems at several work sites and staging areas through the Gulf Coast region.

     

    "The organizational systems that BP currently has in place, particularly those related to worker safety and health training, protective equipment, and site monitoring, are not adequate for the current situation or the projected increase in clean-up operations," Michaels said in the memo.

     

     

     

     

    Bin Laden Says He's 'Professionally Envious' of BP

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/andy-borowitz/bin-laden-says-hes-profes_b_594508.html

     

     

    Ed Markey Demands BP Produce Oil Plume Research, Data

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/05/31/ed-markey-bp-oil-plumes_n_595476.html

     

     

    Gulf Oil Spill: Massive Underwater Plumes Spell Disaster, Scientists Say

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/05/31/gulf-oil-spill-oil-plumes-underwater_n_595471.html

     

     

    Coast Guard Threatens to Arrest Journalists Trying to Film Oil Spill

    http://www.wikio.com/video/cbs-journalist-threatened-arrest-filming-spill-3292088

    http://www.google.com/search?ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&sourceid=navclient&gfns=1&q=CBS+Journalist+threatened+with+arrest+for+filming+Oil+spill+YouTube

     

    Deepwater Horizon oil spill disaster:Total wellhead failure raises fear of worst case scenario

    http://www.examiner.com/x-33986-Political-Spin-Examiner~y2010m5d3-Deepwater-Horizon-oil-spill-disasterTotal-wellhead-failure-raises-fear-of-worst-case-scenario

     

    BP oil spill called ‘no accident’ (Video)

    http://www.examiner.com/x-33986-Political-Spin-Examiner~y2010m5d26-BP-oil-spill-called-no-accident-Video

     

    BP oil spill disaster update: The end of life as we know it in the Gulf of Mexico

    http://www.examiner.com/x-33986-Political-Spin-Examiner~y2010m4d29-BP-oil-spill-disaster-The-end-of-life-as-we-know-it-in-the-Gulf-of-Mexico

     

    The Cover-up: BP's Crude Politics and the Looming Environmental Mega-Disaster

    http://oilprice.com/Environment/Oil-Spills/The-Cover-up-BP-s-Crude-Politics-and-the-Looming-Environmental-Mega-Disaster.html

     

    BP, Obama Administration hide fear of irreversible damage from catastrophic Gulf oil spill

    http://www.examiner.com/x-33986-Political-Spin-Examiner~y2010m5d9-Gulf-oil-spill-Suggestions-of-BP-cover-up-with-Obama-Administration-on-massive-amount-of-oil-being

     

    Florida Gulf oil spill: Plans to evacuate Tampa Bay area are in place

    http://www.examiner.com/x-17299-Hernando-County-Political-Buzz-Examiner~y2010m5d9-Gulf-Oil-Spill-2010-Plans-to-evacuate-Tampa-Bay-area-expected-to-be-announced

     

    Not certain this is credible RE: Toxic rains associated with oil spill, but I'll post it anyway

    Toxic Oil Spill Rains Warned Could Destroy North America

    http://www.eutimes.net/2010/05/toxic-oil-spill-rains-warned-could-destroy-north-america/

     

    Ed Markey Demands BP Produce Oil Plume Research, Data

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/05/31/ed-markey-bp-oil-plumes_n_595476.html

     

    BP oil spill: death and devastation – and it's just the start

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/may/31/bp-oil-spill-death-impact

     

    Getting Naked to Expose BP

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/medea-benjamin/getting-naked-to-expose-b_b_592207.html

     

    Gulf Oil Spill: Massive Underwater Plumes Spell Disaster, Scientists Say

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/05/31/gulf-oil-spill-oil-plumes-underwater_n_595471.html

     

     

    HUFFINGTON POST : BP OIL SPILL

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/news/bp-oil-spill

     

     

    BP 'systemic failure' endangers Gulf cleanup workers

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/mcclatchy/20100529/pl_mcclatchy/3519831;_ylt=AkQ1lIJ7VVd6DRBzGwWkKqeyFz4D;_ylu=X3oDMTJnZjMydmw1BGFzc2V0A21jY2xhdGNoeS8yMDEwMDUyOS8zNTE5ODMxBGNwb3MDMgRwb3MDMTQEc2VjA3luX3RvcF9zdG9yeQRzbGsDYnAzOXN5c3RlbWlj

     

     

    Gulf Oil Spill: Ken Salazar Faces Calls For His Resignation

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/05/30/gulf-oil-spill-ken-salaza_n_594889.html

     

     

    EXCLUSIVE: Deepwater Horizon Flyover Photos on the Day Top Kill Failed

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/karen-daltonbeninato/exclusive-deepwater-horiz_b_594657.html

     

     

    GOP Spews Hypocrisies as BP Rig Gushes Gallons Into Gulf

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/brian-ross/gop-spews-hypocrisies-as_b_594856.html

     

     

    Mr. President, It was a Fatal Error to Trust BP

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/taylor-marsh/mr-president-it-was-a-fat_b_595220.html

     

     

    OIL SPILL - WORST CASE SCENARIO

    http://www.aesopinstitute.org/

     

     

    Lawmaker disputes BP's claims about underwater oil

    http://www.cnn.com/2010/US/05/31/gulf.oil.spill/index.html

     

     

    Gulf Coast oil spill

    http://www.cnn.com/interactive/2010/05/us/gallery.large.oil.spill/index.6.html

     

     

    Gulf Coast oil spill demystified: A glossary

    http://news.blogs.cnn.com/2010/05/25/gulf-coast-oil-spill-demystified-a-glossary/

     

     

    BP told government in 2008 it could handle oil spill 10 times the size of one plaguing Gulf

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2010/06/01/2010-06-01_bp_told_government_in_2008_it_could_handle_oil_spill_10_times_the_size_of_one_pl.html

     

    BP shares plunge as next Gulf fix gets underway

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_gulf_oil_spill

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    -------------------------

  15. Come on man! We love 70s cranking, ice sliding, pile walking, drift shoveling snow obsessed Jeb!!!

    :thumbsup: :thumbsup: :thumbsup: :wub::wub::wub::wub::wub: :snowman: :snowman: :snowman: :snowman: :snowman: :thumbsup: :thumbsup: :thumbsup:

     

    Well you got 70s cranking, ice sliding, pile walking, drift shoveling snow obsessed Jeb back again for sure (and then some LOL!). The Winter Olympics aren't going to help either. So many things ongoing at the same time PLUS this unbelievable 500 year block pattern.

     

    I know it truly marks me as a hopeless weenie case just to be saying this, but I hope that southern storm tracks a bit north of NE overnight and we wake up to 4 inches and steady snow. I'm greedy as all heck. We don't get blocking like this every year. I'd be the same if I visited Jay Peak in Vermont too. I'd be hungry for EVERY snowstorm. I'd want 3 feet so I could dig snow to my heart's content.

     

    Also I hope that arctic clipper tracks south of us, slows down and goes all-out with 1.3 inches qpf with crazy 30-1 snow to water ratios so we pick up 39 inches!! In this 500 year blocking pattern ANYTHING AT ALL is possible!! Tip mentioned on the SNE thread that the AO is so negative that it is pushing the envelope of what is possible in Earth's atmosphere, that there are so many negative polar indices that they (the SNE'ers) will need to wait five weeks for anything to change!!!!!!!!!!! He said this pattern is so profound that there has been nothing like it since before technology settled on this continent!! He mentioned that this blocking is forcing a microclimate along the Eastern Coast that will persist for a YEAR!!! MAYBE THIS WILL BECOME SEMIPERMANENT!!! Maybe this is what the 'Hide the Decline' bullshyte was trying to cover up!! I hope so!!! I have always wanted to experience the Little Ice Age lol.

     

    This pattern is so great and there is SO MUCH SNOW in Dale City that I am nearly in tears with happiness and gratitude! Some of the streets in my city have four foot snow berms along the sides of the roads! The Central Ridge on the southside of Potomac Mills Mall has HUGE TALL plowed piles!!! The snowpack here is so deep that I am actually having trouble jebwalking in it and am being forced to walk in the streets. Parking in the subdivisions is a major disastah; people are too lazy to shovel a small cramped niche form their cars so they just park 'em right in the street!! This is what I enjoy and why I want another 2-3 feet of snow!! Another thing I absolutely adore is the fact that so many lanes on the major thoroughfares are blocked by huge snow berms! It develops a whole new meaning to Blocking lol! It's so fun to drive those streets!! The same goes for the subdivisions!! I want even more snow so bad! I love this winter! This winter is the winter of our dreams, the season when not only will your best snow weenie dreams come gloriously and wonderfully true, but be fulfilled beyond your wildest imaginings, often just when you least expect it!!

     

    YEAH Old man winter!! BRING IT!! We'll show SNE how to deal with REAL Snow LOL!!

     

    http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/...px?animate=true

     

     

    ------------------

  16. EUSWX Threads associated with NYD snowstorm

    PART 1

     

     

    Triple phasers, are we due?

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...=57019&st=0

     

     

     

    00z Models 12.27.09 Another HECS? Stay tuned.

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=217005

     

    12z model madness 12.26

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216875

     

    Not really a cold December

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216916

     

    Severe hail criteria to change in 2010. Effective January 5th, 2010.

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216929

     

    Christmas 2009: Whitest Since...? For the nation

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216816

     

    18z Hecstacular Bonanza a HECS of a run.

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216934

     

    DC/Northern VA/MD/WV Obs/Discussion/Complaint Thread all eyes on Jan 1. Ohioans..please feel free to post

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216956

    THE ABOVE THREAD CONTAINS MY State of the Snowpack - 730pm Dec 26 2009 POST

     

    State of the Snowpack - 730pm Dec 26 2009

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...t&p=4374826

     

    We have just been deluged by about 1.7 inches of rain in a 47 degree environment. We now have about 50 percent snow coverage, with about 2-3 inches average snow depth. There's a lot of standing water on lawns and the snow is VERY slushy.

     

    We just managed to eke out an 8TH consecutive day of snow cover. I am shocked that we actually still have ANY snowpack at all after all that rain in the upper 40s last night.

    Snowpack continues to melt slowly because we are still at 42 degrees, but the skies are clearing which should allow for some cooling into the upper 20s. Hopefully we can get some freezing of the remaining snowpack.

     

    It's amazing how many snowpiles there are left! There is a 5 to 6 foot tall plowed snow pile at Greenwood Drive and Dale Blvd in Dale City AFTER the rain. It is easy to see that we had a major snow even after most of the ambient snow (the snow on lawns) has melted, because of all the snow piles. They are not only evident at the mall and at most shopping centers, but also in the subdivisions.

     

    Next up is tomorrow and Monday. The bad news is the sunshine and highs near 50 degrees tomorrow; the good news is mid 20s tomorrow night then Monday should only hit 40 with a low Monday night near 20!!!!!!! Yeah baby!!! Let's FREEZE those piles of snow but good!!!

    I'll still be sorrowing after my beloved 20 inch snowpack though. My shoveled piles are still nearly 2 feet tall. The sunshine and 50 degrees tomorrow will likely wipe out all the remaining snowpack. It'll take a good bite out of the snow piles too, but then it starts to cool off thank G-d.

     

    It's on to the next storm as modeling begins to develop another snow threat out to next weekend!!!

     

     

    RE an extraordinary event Could it snow 50"?

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216883

     

    dec_26....confidence is growing about potential new years storm.

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216362

     

    Current El Niño Offers Additional Signal of a Cold, Snowy Winter in the East

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216523

     

    Some thoughts to take us into the New Year -NAO to take centre stage

    http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=216719

     

     

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

  17. Yep it's that time again. My sig on EUSWX is ALREADY WAAAAAY OUTTA CONTROL!!!!

     

     

     

     

    Time to start Archiving it. Got some nice links in there too.

     

     

     

     

    As of 945pm Christmas Night:

     

     

    The HM Blizzard of Dec 18-19 2009....... 24 inches of snow 7 days of snow cover (a)

    Climategate: hide the decline – codified Renewable Energy Portal

    I am worried that the OMG is negative, the LOL is through the roof, and the WTF is neutral. That's never good for cold winters. JamieO

    Forget about the movies, you just cant beat US live news for drama and emotion.

    Its like playing a slot machine every day, you never know when you are going to get lucky. Organizing Low

    IF that PV/Arctic Block doesn't budge for a while, we're going to keep locking and loading. I can't think of a better snow/cold pattern for the east. NVAWeather

    Once we get the arctic air in here this place is going to be a mad house. VortMax

    Indeed and I doubt we will get a dry pattern.... Ripe and Ready, Lock and Load. Showtime. Chris L

    The glorious sound of snowplows rolling down the street will be heard all over SNE tonight and tomorrow...it's beginning to look like a lot like Christmas, and weenies are flying everywhere. Enjoy every minute of it guys. DS2434

    What a great storm this was. If it was a racehorse, I'd put it out to stud. wedgehead

    All it needs is a box and some wrapping paper and it qualifies as THE gift for a MA snow weenie who thought he had everything on 12/19. mitchnick

    Here's one winter weather forecasting presentation. Besides what is in it, snow forecasting also is understanding patterns. usedtobe

    Bring on Winter 2009-2010: 90 inches of snow on the season at DCA ! Can YOU dig it?!

    Zeus for Mod

    December 5 2009....... 3 inches snow (10am-7pm, from coastal) 4 days of snow cover (a) (b}

    Updated at 932pm Dec 25 2009.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    -------------------------------

  18.  

     

     

     

     

    000

    FXUS61 KLWX 210840

    AFDLWX

     

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

    340 AM EST MON DEC 21 2009

     

    .SYNOPSIS...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOW

    PRESSURE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MOVE NORTH TOWARDS

    THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY. A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL

    DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. EARLY CHRISTMAS DAY...BEFORE

    MOVING NORTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A

    WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION ON CHRISTMAS EVE...THEN

    LIKELY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN ON CHRISTMAS DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL

    RETURN NEXT WEEKEND.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    MOST TEMPERATURES HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 20S EARLY THIS MORNING

    ACROSS THE CWA...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS WHERE THE WIND HAS GONE

    LIGHT/CALM REPORTING TEENS AT 07Z. NO MATTER HOW ONE SLICES

    IT...TEMPERATURES WERE SUB-FREEZING AND THIS WILL ALLOW ANY SNOW

    MELT/SLUSH TO RE-FREEZE AND RESULT IN DANGEROUS ICY CONDITIONS THIS

    MORNING. SPS AND HWO ADDRESS THE HAZARD.

     

    NEARLY ZONAL /WEST/NORTHWEST/ FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TODAY. THIS

    WILL LEAD TO LOTS OF CLOUDS AND SOME SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS FAVORED

    WESTERN FACING SLOPES OF THE HIGHLANDS TODAY. AM FORECASTING AROUND

    AN INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. WOULDNT BE SHOCKED FOR A TWO INCH

    TOTAL TO BE REPORTED BUT HAVE KEPT AMOUNTS BELOW WINTER WEATHER

    ADVISORY CRITERIA. UPSLOPE AMOUNTS WILL BE PALTRY ADDITIONS TO

    EXISTING SNOW PACK FROM SATURDAYS SNOW STORM.

     

    MAY HAVE CLOUDS AND EVEN SOME FLURRIES PENETRATE EAST OF THE FAVORED

    UPSLOPE AREAS INTO WESTERN MARYLAND/EASTERN WEST

    VIRGINIA TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN LIGHT OF A WEAK WAVE PROPAGATING IN

    ZONAL FLOW. HOWEVER...NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. CLOUDS AND SOME

    SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE.

     

    PREFER THE LOWER SET OF MOS GIVEN SNOW PACK AND SOME CLOUD COVER

    TODAY.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY/...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    UPPER FLOW REMAINS NEARLY CONSTANT TONIGHT...AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE

    AT THE SURFACE STARTS TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREA. SNOW SHOWERS WILL

    BEGIN TO WANE OVER FAVORED UPSLOPE LOCATIONS. GRADIENT WILL ALSO BE

    WEAKER SO WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER AND THIS WILL PAVE THE WAY FOR A

    DECENT RADIATION COOLING NIGHT. IN ADDITION...GIVEN THE SNOW PACK

    AND ITS ENHANCING EFFECT AT RADIATING LONGWAVE RADIATION...HAVE

    UNDERCUT MOS BY A FEW DEGREES. WATCH FOR RE-FREEZING OF SLUSH

    AGAIN.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    HIPRES RIDGING SWD FROM ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE COOL AND

    QUIET CONDITIONS FOR THE AREA TUE-WED. LEANED TOWARDS COOLER SIDE OF

    GUIDANCE WITH SNOWPACK IN PLACE...WITH DAILY HIGHS IN THE 30S/LOWS

    IN THE TEENS TO L20S. PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN MIDWEEK WITH UPPER

    LOW E OF NEWFOUNDLAND SLOWLY EXITING AND C CONUS RIDGE BUILDING

    TOWARDS THE ERN SEABOARD.

     

    LOPRES OVR THE PAC NW IS EXPECTED TO DIVE SWD TOWARDS THE ROCKIES

    AND SRN PLAINS BY WED. MODEL GUIDANCE GENERALLY IN AGREEMENT OF THIS

    SYSTEM PHASING WITH UPSTREAM ENERGY...WHICH WOULD LIFT CYCLONE NWD

    TOWARDS THE MIDWEST AND WELL W OF THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK. 00Z GFS

    STILL INDICATES SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE SE COAST. HIPRES

    RIDGING FROM SRN CANADA WOULD CREATE A CAD SETUP AS MOISTURE STREAMS

    NWD AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY PRECIP

    /PRIMARILY FREEZING RAIN/ AT THE ONSET THU NGT AND FRI MRNG. WITH

    THE EXPECTED TRACK OF THE MAIN LOW...PRECIP SHOULD TRANSITION TO

    RAIN AS WARM AIR EVENTUALLY INTRUDES THE AREA. STILL TOO FAR OUT TO

    PINPOINT QPF AMOUNTS BUT WITH 1-2 INCHES LIQUID EQUIV OF SNOWPACK ON

    GROUND AND FROZEN SOIL...WOULD HAVE TO MONITOR ANY FLOODING

    POTENTIAL.

     

    COLDER TEMPS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND IN WAKE OF FROPA ON SAT.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    WEST/NORTHWEST WIND AT 8-12 KNOTS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE

    EVENING HOURS...BEFORE LESSENING TO 4-8 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. EXPECT

    SCT-BKN VFR STRATOCU BY AFTERNOON...DISSIPATING AFTER SUNSET.

     

    VFR CONDITIONS AND LGT NWLY WINDS THRU THU. A STORM SYSTEM WILL

    APPROACH LATE THIS WEEK. WITH A SHALLOW LAYER OF COLD AIR IN

    PLACE...WINTRY PRECIP...SPECIFICALLY FZRA...IS POSSIBLE AT THE ONSET

    THU NGT AND ERY FRI BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL RA FRI.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .MARINE...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    WEST/NORTHWEST FLOW EXPECTED TO REACH SCA GUST CRITERIA ACROSS THE

    LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER/CHESAPEAKE BAY TODAY...THEN LIKELY

    PERSISTING ACROSS THE MID CHESAPEAKE BAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT.

     

    WINDS SHOULD STAY JUST BELOW SCA LVLS FOR MIDWEEK. HOWEVER GUSTS TO

    15 KT POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY TUE AND WED. A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES

    LATE IN THE WEEK WITH SCA CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BEGINNING THU NGT.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .CLIMATE...

    MULTIPLE SNOWFALL RECORDS WERE BROKEN FROM THIS SNOWSTORM AT

    DCA...BWI...IAD. DAILY SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR DEC 19 WERE SMASHED AT

    ALL THREE AIRPORTS. THESE DAILY SNOWFALL REPORTS ON DEC 19 ALSO

    BROKE RECORDS FOR THE MOST SNOWFALL FOR ANY CALENDAR DAY DURING

    THE MONTH OF DEC.

     

    DAILY DECEMBER SNOWFALL (IN INCHES)

    NEW RECORD OLD RECORD

    DCA 15.0 11.5 (1932)

    BWI 20.5 11.5 (1932)

    IAD 16.0 10.6 (1982)

     

    ADDITIONAL CLIMATE TIDBITS FROM THE PAST STORM...

     

    DCA...

    THE 15.0 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED YESTERDAY WAS THE THIRD

    HIGHEST DAILY SNOWFALL ON ANY CALENDAR DAY AT WASHINGTON DC SINCE

    SNOWFALL RECORDS BEGAN IN 1884.

     

    THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 16.4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ON DEC 18-19

    2009 MARKS THE 6TH HIGHEST TWO-DAY SNOWFALL RECORD FOR WASHINGTON

    DC...PUTTING IT JUST BELOW THE PRESIDENT/S DAY STORM IN 2003 AND

    AHEAD OF THE JAN 1996 STORM.

     

    FOR THE MONTH SO FAR...A TOTAL OF 16.6 INCHES OF SNOW HAS BEEN

    RECORDED AT DCA. THIS MAKES IT THE SNOWIEST DECEMBER ON RECORD FOR

    WASHINGTON DC (PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 16.2 IN 1962).

     

    BWI...

    THE 20.5 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED YESTERDAY WILL GO DOWN AS THE FIFTH

    HIGHEST DAILY SNOWFALL ON ANY CALENDAR DAY AT BALTIMORE SINCE

    SNOWFALL RECORDS BEGAN IN 1893.

     

    THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 21.0 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ON DEC 18-19

    2009 MARKS THE 6TH HIGHEST TWO-DAY SNOWFALL RECORD FOR BALTIMORE.

     

    FOR THE MONTH SO FAR...A TOTAL OF 22.2 INCHES OF SNOW HAS BEEN

    RECORDED AT BWI. THIS MAKES IT THE SNOWIEST DECEMBER ON RECORD FOR

    BALTIMORE (PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 20.4 INCHES IN 1966).

     

    &&

     

    .LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    DC...NONE.

    MD...NONE.

    VA...NONE.

    WV...NONE.

    MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ531>534-

    538>543.

    SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ530-

    537.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    $$

    SYNOPSIS...PELOQUIN/KLEIN

    NEAR TERM...PELOQUIN

    SHORT TERM...PELOQUIN

    LONG TERM...KLEIN

    AVIATION...PELOQUIN/KLEIN

    MARINE...PELOQUIN/KLEIN

    CLIMATE...KLEIN

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    ------

  19.  

     

     

    000

    FXUS61 KLWX 191532

    AFDLWX

     

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

    1032 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

     

    .SYNOPSIS...

    LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND

    MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND OFF THE DELMARVA TONIGHT AND EAST OF LONG

    ISLAND SUNDAY MORNING. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC

    REGION LATE MONDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE MIDDLE

    PART OF THE WEEK. A STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT

    THE MID-ATLANTIC FOR CHRISTMAS.

     

    &&

     

    .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    LOW PRES INVOF KHSE...989MB...AND WL CONT INTENSIFY AS IT APRCHS

    THE DELMARVA LATE THIS AFTN/ERLY EVE. BANDS OF HVIEST RDR RETURN

    ACROSS CENTRAL VIRGINIA HAS NE- SW ALIGNMENT. HVIEST SNOWFALL AREA

    WL MOVE FM THE CENTRAL SHEN VALLEY UP TOWARDS DC/BALT/NHK...WHERE

    IT WL CONT TO SNOW HEAVILY THRUT THE DAY. STORM TOTALS 2 TO 2.5 FT

    INVOF CHO WHERE 16.5 WAS REPORTED AT 9 AM...ALONG THE ALLEGHENY

    FRONT...AND 1.5 TO 2 FT ALONG THE THE I-95 CORRIDOR.

     

    BLIZZARD WARNING EXPANDED TO GREATER I-95 CORRIDOR AND SOUTHERN

    MARYLAND. PERIODS AND HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED

    THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS OF THE BLIZZARD AREA.

     

    SNOW IS STARTING TO TAPER OFF FOR SW ZONES...A FEW BANDS TO CROSS

    OUT THERE BRINGING A FEW MORE INCHES.

     

    MIXED PRECIP FOR LOWER ST MARYS/SOUTHERN CALVERT COUNTY TO TURN TO

    ALL SNOW THROUGH MIDDAY.

     

    PLEASE CHECK CLIMATE SXN FOR TWO DAY DEC SNOW TOTALS.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/...

    BLV SNOW WL BECOME LGT TNGT IN THE SW...BUT XPCTD TO CONT AT A MDT

    PACE IN I-95 CORRIDOR DURG THE EVE HRS. TEMPS OVRNGT IN 20S ACROSS

    THE CWA - WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS.

     

    &&

     

    .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

    SNOW XPCD TO TAPER OFF SUN AS LOPRES MOVES QUICKLY AWAY FROM RGN.

    WNWLY LOW-LVL FLOW AND APRCH OF A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHRTWV TROF WILL

    PROMOTE UPSLP SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WRN SLOPES OF ALLEGHENY FRONT

    THRU MON NGT.

     

    COLD AIR RMNS PRESENT THRU MUCH OF NEXT WEEK OWING TO PERSISTENT

    SNOW PACK. A STRONG CLOSED UPR LOW XPCD TO FORM OVER SRN PLNS MID

    WEEK AND COULD RESULT IN PCPN THU-FRI. ATTM...MODELS SUGGEST A

    TRANSITION FROM SNOW INITIALLY TO RAIN AS WARM AIR IS DRAWN INTO

    THE SYSTEM.

     

    &&

     

    .AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    TAFS CONTINUE TO BE BURIED IN VLIFR CIGS/VSBYS THRUT THE DAYLGT

    HRS. SNOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WITH BANDED

    PRECIPITATION. ALTHO THERE MAY BE SOME MINOR IMRVMNTS GETTING

    IN/OUT OF THE THREE MAJOR AIRPORTS WL BE XTRMLY DIFFICULT THIS

    EVENG.

     

    MAIN PSBLTY FOR TERMINAL IMPACTS IN EXTENDED PDS IS THU-FRI NEXT

    WEEK...WHEN A DEEP CLOSED UPR LOW WILL APRCH APLCNS AND COULD

    GENERATE RAIN/SNOW OVER MUCH OF MID-ATLC RGN.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .MARINE...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    LOW PRESSURE NEAR HATTERAS MOVING NE. GRADIENT HAS

    INCREASED...GALES FOR THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. ANY MIXED PRECIP

    OVER THE WATER TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL

    CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE WARRANTED FOR THE WATERS SUNDAY THROUGH

    SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONGER NW WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT AS

    HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

     

     

    &&

     

    .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    PROLONGED NORTHEASTERLY FLOW HAS BUILT POSITIVE ANOMALIES INTO THE

    BAY. ATTM TIDAL LVLS ARE APPROACHING TWO FEET ABOVE PREDICTED FOR

    LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC AND LOWER PORTIONS OF THE MD CHES BAY. A

    COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL GO UP FOR CALVERT..ST

    MARYS...CHARLES...KING GEORGE COUNTIES SOON. POSITIVE TIDAL

    DEPARTURES OF UP TO ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE REST OF THE

    WATERS TODAY.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .CLIMATE...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    MID ATLC LOOKS ON ITS WAY TO RECORD DEC SNOWFALL - TWO DAY DEC RECORDS

    FOR MAJOR AIRPORTS:

     

    DCA 12.0" 1932

    BWI 14.1" 1960

    IAD 12.1" 1969

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

     

     

    &&

     

    .LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    DC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY

    FOR DCZ001.

    BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR DCZ001.

    MD...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY

    FOR MDZ006-007-009>011-013-014-016>018.

    BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MDZ006-007-

    009>011-013-014-016>018.

    WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR MDZ003>005-501-

    502.

    VA...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY

    FOR VAZ052>057.

    BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR VAZ052>057.

    WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ021-025>031-

    036>042-050-051.

    WV...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR WVZ050>055-

    501>504.

    MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ530>543.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    $$

    UPDATE...BAJ

    PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...ABW/BPP/JRK

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    ---------------

  20.  

     

    000

    FXUS61 KLWX 190858

    AFDLWX

     

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

    358 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2009

     

    .SYNOPSIS...

     

    -- Changed Discussion --

    LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND

    MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND OFF THE DELMARVA TONIGHT AND EAST OF LONG

    ISLAND SUNDAY MORNING. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC

    REGION LATE MONDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE MIDDLE

    PART OF THE WEEK. A STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT

    THE MID-ATLANTIC FOR CHRISTMAS.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .NEAR TERM /TODAY/...

     

    -- Changed Discussion --

    MID ATLC LOOKS ON ITS WAY TO RECORD DEC SNOWFALL - TWO DAY DEC RECORDS

    FOR MAJOR AIRPORTS:

     

    DCA 12.0" 1932

    BWI 14.1" 1960

    IAD 12.1" 1969

     

    LOW PRES HAS DEEPENED DRAMATICALLY AT HAT BTWN 04 AND 08Z - FM

    1004 TO 990 MB...AND WL CONT INTENSIFY AS IT APRCHS THE DELMARVA

    LATE THIS AFTN/ERLY EVE. BAND OF HVIEST RDR RETURN ALREADY SEEN

    TO BE PIVOTING TO A MORE NE-SW ALIGNMENT. HVIEST SNOWFALL AREA WL

    MOVE FM THE CENTRAL SHEN VALLEY UP TOWARDS DC/BALT/NHK...WHERE IT WL

    CONT TO SNOW HEAVILY THRUT THE DAY. TOTALS NEAR 2` PSBL W OF CHO

    WHERE 15" WAS REPORTED AT 1 AM...AND BY END OF TNGT NEAR 20" IN

    THE I-95 CORRIDOR.

     

    BLZRD WRNG SE OF DC WL RMN AS IS. THIS IS A REFLECTION OF STRONGER

    WINDS CLOSE TO THE BAY...NOT HEAVIER SNOWFALL.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...

     

    -- Changed Discussion --

    BLV SNOW WL BECOME LGT TNGT IN THE SW...BUT XPCTD TO CONT AT A MDT

    PACE IN I-95 CORRIDOR DURG THE EVE HRS. TEMPS OVRNGT IN 20S ACROSS

    THE CWA - WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

     

    SNOW XPCD TO TAPER OFF SUN AS LOPRES MOVES QUICKLY AWAY FROM RGN.

    WNWLY LOW-LVL FLOW AND APRCH OF A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHRTWV TROF WILL

    PROMOTE UPSLP SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WRN SLOPES OF ALLEGHENY FRONT

    THRU MON NGT.

     

    COLD AIR RMNS PRESENT THRU MUCH OF NEXT WEEK OWING TO PERSISTENT

    SNOW PACK. A STRONG CLOSED UPR LOW XPCD TO FORM OVER SRN PLNS MID

    WEEK AND COULD RESULT IN PCPN THU-FRI. ATTM...MODELS SUGGEST A

    TRANSITION FROM SNOW INITIALLY TO RAIN AS WARM AIR IS DRAWN INTO

    THE SYSTEM.

     

    &&

     

    .AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

     

    -- Changed Discussion --

    TAFS HV ESSENTIALLY BEEN BURIED IN VLIFR CIGS/VSBYS THRUT THE

    DAYLGT HRS. ALTHO THERE MAY BE SOME MINOR IMRVMNTS GETTING IN/OUT

    OF THE THREE MAJOR AIRPORTS WL BE XTRMLY DIFFICULT TDA THRU THIS

    EVENG.

     

    MAIN PSBLTY FOR TERMINAL IMPACTS IN EXTENDED PDS IS THU-FRI NEXT

    WEEK...WHEN A DEEP CLOSED UPR LOW WILL APRCH APLCNS AND COULD

    GENERATE RAIN/SNOW OVER MUCH OF MID-ATLC RGN.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .MARINE...

     

    LOW PRESSURE NEAR ILM WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD UP THE MID-

    ATLANTIC COAST AS IT INTENSIFIES OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE

    INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BRING SCA WINDS OVERNIGHT...WITH

    THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND LOWER TIDAL

    POTOMAC WHERE GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED.

     

    AS THE GRADIENT INCREASES...WINDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY INTO

    SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC AND CHESAPEAKE BAY

    FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SMITH POINT. WILL CONTINUE WITH A GALE WARNING

    ACROSS THESE AREAS...AND SCA CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. A SMALL CRAFT

    ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE WARRANTED FOR THE WATERS OVERNIGHT SATURDAY

    AND SUNDAY.

     

    &&

     

    .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

     

    -- Changed Discussion --

    PROLONGED NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL BUILD EXCESS WATER INTO THE

    BAY. ATTM TIDAL LVLS AT DC/BALT/ANNA HAVEN`T BUDGED FM NRML...BUT

    POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF UP TO ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ARE

    POSSIBLE TODAY.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    DC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR DCZ001.

    MD...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR

    MDZ013-014-016>018.

    WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY

    FOR MDZ013-014-016>018.

    BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MDZ013-014-

    016>018.

    WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR MDZ003>007-

    009>011-501-502.

    VA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ021-025>031-

    036>042-050>057.

    WV...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR WVZ050>055-

    501>504.

    MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR

    ANZ531>534-537-539>543.

    GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ531>534-537-

    539>543.

    SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ530-

    535-536-538.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    $$

    PRODUCTS...WOODY!/JRK/BP

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    -----------

  21.  

    000

    FXUS61 KLWX 190139

    AFDLWX

     

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

    839 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009

     

    .SYNOPSIS...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL INTENSIFY ALONG THE

    CAROLINA COAST OVERNIGHT. THE STORM WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE ALONG

    THE EAST COAST SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL

    CROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION LATE MONDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE

    BUILDS IN FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK. A STRONG UPPER

    DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE MID-ATLANTIC FOR CHRISTMAS.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    CURRENT ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE SOUTH

    CAROLINA COAST EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO

    INTENSIFY AS IT SLOWLY MOVES UP THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST OVERNIGHT. AN

    UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE MIDWEST WHILE HIGH

    PRESSURE REMAINS OVER NEW ENGLAND PUMPING IN PLENTY OF COLD AIR.

     

    SNOW HAS ALREADY BROKE OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN

    CWA THIS EVENING WELL AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW. PRECIPITATION WILL

    CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH THIS EVENING AND SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES IS

    EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA. HAVE BUMPED UP

    ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT DUE TO BANDING THAT IS ANTICIPATED WITH THE

    PRECIPITATION. ACCUMULATIONS BY MORNING WILL BE AROUND 4 TO 8 INCHES

    ACROSS THE WASHINGTON AND BALTIMORE METROPOLITAN AREAS...AND 6 TO 12

    INCHES ACROSS THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY INTO CENTRAL VIRGINA INTO THE

    VIRGINIA PIEDMONT AND LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES UP THE MID-

    ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ENTIRE

    CWA...HEAVY AT TIMES. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL DURING THE

    MORNING HOURS WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS AND THROUGH THE

    AFTERNOON HOURS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

     

    WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH WILL BLOW THE HEAVY SNOW

    AS IT FALLS...FURTHER DECREASING VISIBILITY. TRAVEL WILL BE VERY

    TREACHEROUS AND IS GREATLY DISCOURAGED THROUGH SATURDAY.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

    SNOW XPCD TO TAPER OFF SUN AS LOPRES MOVES QUICKLY AWAY FROM RGN.

    WNWLY LOW-LVL FLOW AND APRCH OF A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHRTWV TROF WILL

    PROMOTE UPSLP SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WRN SLOPES OF ALLEGHENY FRONT

    THRU MON NGT.

     

    COLD AIR RMNS PRESENT THRU MUCH OF NEXT WEEK OWING TO PERSISTENT

    SNOW PACK. A STRONG CLOSED UPR LOW XPCD TO FORM OVER SRN PLNS MID

    WEEK AND COULD RESULT IN PCPN THU-FRI. ATTM...MODELS SUGGEST A

    TRANSITION FROM SNOW INITIALLY TO RAIN AS WARM AIR IS DRAWN INTO

    THE SYSTEM.

     

    &&

     

    .AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    CIGS AND VSBYS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE ONCE SNOW BEGINS THIS

    EVENING. IFR/SUBIFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE EXPECTED IN SNOW OVERNIGHT

    THROUGH SATURDAY. NLY WINDS 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT DURING

    SNOWFALL SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN TERMINALS.

     

    MAIN PSBLTY FOR TERMINAL IMPACTS IN EXTENDED PDS IS THU-FRI NEXT

    WEEK...WHEN A DEEP CLOSED UPR LOW WILL APRCH APLCNS AND COULD

    GENERATE RAIN/SNOW OVER MUCH OF MID-ATLC RGN.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .MARINE...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST THIS EVENING

    WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD UP THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AS IT

    INTENSIFIES OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE INCREASING PRESSURE

    GRADIENT WILL BRING SCA WINDS OVERNIGHT...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS

    ACROSS THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC WHERE GUSTS

    AROUND 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED.

     

    AS THE GRADIENT INCREASES...WINDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY INTO

    SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC AND CHESAPEAKE BAY

    FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SMITH POINT. WILL CONTINUE WITH A GALE WARNING

    ACROSS THESE AREAS...AND SCA CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. A SMALL CRAFT

    ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE WARRANTED FOR THE WATERS OVERNIGHT SATURDAY

    AND SUNDAY.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY OFF THE CAROLINA COAST

    TONIGHT...MOVING NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE BAY SATURDAY. PROLONGED

    NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL BUILD EXCESS WATER INTO THE BAY...BRINGING

    POSITIVE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF UP TO ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL BY

    SATURDAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE NEAR TIMES OF HIGH

    TIDE SATURDAY.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    .LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

    -- Changed Discussion --

    DC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY

    FOR DCZ001.

    MD...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY

    FOR MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-018.

    WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR MDZ016-017-501-

    502.

    VA...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY

    FOR VAZ042-053-054.

    WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ021-025-026-

    036>039-050-056.

    WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ027>031-040-

    041-051-052-055-057.

    WV...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY

    FOR WVZ051>053.

    WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR WVZ054.

    WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR WVZ050-055-

    501>504.

    MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST

    SATURDAY FOR ANZ531-532-539-540.

    GALE WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ531>534-

    537-539>543.

    SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ533-534-

    537-541>543.

    SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EST

    SATURDAY FOR ANZ530-535-536-538.

    -- End Changed Discussion --

     

     

    &&

     

    $$

    LASORSA/KRAMAR/BAJ

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    ---------------

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