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Jeb

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  1. Tropical Depression IVAN 000 WTNT34 KWNH 250247 TCPAT4 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 76 FOR REMNANT LOW OF IVAN NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD 10 PM CDT FRI SEP 24 2004 ...IVAN DOWNGRADED FROM DEPRESSION TO REMNANT LOW... A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NEWTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS UNTIL 12:30 AM CDT. FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN LOUISIANA AND EASTERN TEXAS. AT 10 PM CDT...03Z...THE REMNANT LOW OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6 NORTH LATITUDE AND 94.9 WEST LONGITUDE...OR APPROXIMATELY 35 MILES EAST OF HUNTSVILLE TEXAS AND MOVING SOUTH AT ABOUT 7 MPH. WINDS ARE GENERALLY 10-15 MPH. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB OR 29.94 INCHES. SELECTED STORM 36 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT FRIDAY. LOCATION 36 HOUR TOTAL LOUISIANA... SHREVPORT 2.80 BARKSDALE AFB 2.66 FORT POLK 2.21 NEW IBERIA 1.38 LAKE CHARLES 1.16 LAFAYETTE 1.11 ENGLAND AFB 0.62 SALT POINT 0.50 TEXAS... LUFKIN 3.36 LONGVIEW 1.13 BEAUMONT 1.05 NACOGOCHES 0.75 UNOFFICIAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS IN WESTERN LOUISIANA AND EASTERN TEXAS INDICATE THAT UP TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN ISOLATED AREAS MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE REMNANT LOW SINCE 7 AM CDT FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2-4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT...03Z...POSITION...THE REMNANT LOW OF IVAN WAS NEAR 30.6 NORTH LATITUDE AND 94.9 WEST LONGITUDE...OR APPROXIMATELY 35 MILES EAST OF HUNTSVILLE TEXAS AND MOVING SOUTH AT ABOUT 7 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB OR 29.94 INCHES. THE NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER FOR THE REMNANT LOW OF IVAN WILL BE AT 4 AM CDT. REFER TO STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS STORM. HALBACH $$
  2. Jeanne quickly approaching Bahamas and Florida 10:53 p.m. ET ET Fri.,Sep.24,2004 James Wilson, Sr. Meteorologist, The Weather Channel Bottom Line # Category 2 storm with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph, as of 11 p.m. ET # Hurricane warning issued along the Florida east coast from Florida City northward to St. Augustine, including Lake Okeechobee; A watch extends from north of St. Augustine to Altamaha Sound, GA # Jeanne poses urgent threat to northern Bahamas and Florida; will impact other southeastern U.S. states # Landfall location will be determined by when Jeanne turns north Hurricane Jeanne, a category 2 storm, will continue to move westward through the Bahamas on Saturday and toward the Florida Coast with a possible landfall late Saturday into early Sunday Jeanne will continue on this westward course before it eventually will be drawn northwestward and then northward around the periphery of a large area of high pressure. Landfall is most likely along the eastern coast of Florida from north of Palm Beach to south of Cape Canaveral, but strong winds and squalls may occur at quite a distance from the center of the storm. Look for a 4-8 foot storm surge, with gusty winds and rain by late Saturday. Hurricane warnings are in effect much of the east coast of Florida --from Florida City to St. Augustine and hurricane watches extend northward from there to the Georgia Coast. In the meantime, Jeanne has already begun to impact the Southeast Coast and will continue to do so as it makes its approach. Swells are emanating from Jeanne toward the Southeast Coast. An already persistent northeasterly flow along the beaches of Florida's east coast is building surf and producing a high rip current threat, prompting high surf advisories. Those waves, however, will only grow larger and larger as Jeanne draws closer to the shores of the Southeast. With time, 20- to 30-foot waves will be breaking along the shoreline of Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and coastal southeast North Carolina with considerable beach erosion in places already hit hard by recent hurricanes. This could add to the coastal damage and flooding. Be extremely careful in the coastal zones as Jeanne approaches and makes landfall. Very heavy rain and flooding will be yet another product of Jeanne in the Southeast and northward into the Mid-Atlantic States. A flood watch is already in effect for parts of the Florida Peninsula through the weekend. A weakening Hurricane Karl is racing north-northeast into the North Atlantic, and has become extratropical, and is not a threat to the United States. Only shipping interests need to be concerned with Karl. Southeast of Karl, however, Tropical Depression Lisa's future remains uncertain. The system absorbed a separate tropical disturbance that moved in from the east. Regardless, Lisa is a long way from the Lesser Antilles and even farther from the United States, and may just turn more northward without affecting land. It is forecast to strengthen back to tropical storm strength over the next 24 to 48 hours. Back home, remnants of Tropical Storm Ivan have been dumping heavy rain around the Texas-Louisiana border. Flood watches remain in effect for those areas.
  3. Preparations should be made immediately for Hurricane Jeanne 9:09 P.M. ET 9/24/2004 Tom Moore, Senior Meteorologist, The Weather Channel South The eastern coast of Florida will feel the effects of increasing surf and rip currents overnight and Saturday, compounded by increasing wind and rain by Saturday afternoon and evening as Hurricane Jeanne approaches. Rain bands may enter coastal areas of south and south-central Florida by Saturday morning and conditions will deteriorate during the day and through the evening. Even the west side of Florida may experience tropical storm conditions by Sunday. On Sunday, Hurricane Jeanne will likely rake up the east side of the Florida Peninsula either right along the coast or just inland. Some storm surge, damaging winds and torrential flooding rain will accompany Jeanne's trek through the Sunshine State. Monday into Tuesday, a weakening Jeanne will likely head northward through southeast Georgia and the eastern Carolinas with more flooding rain, the risk for some tornadoes northeast and east of track and tropical storm strength winds that could still bring down trees and power lines. Midwest A cold front that brought heavy rain to the Plains earlier in the week will slide through Michigan and the Ohio Valley with very little precipitation. The best chance of rain may be over southern Missouri into Saturday morning. The passage of the front will return temperatures to near average over the remainder of the Midwest. Sunday and Monday, a new cold front will sag southward out of Canada across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest with only scattered rain showers. Northeast A cold front will move through the Northeast later Saturday and Sunday, stalling over the Chesapeake Bay and the Virginias by Monday. There is a very small chance for a shower or thunderstorm ahead of the front, but most of the region will be dry. Temperatures behind the front will return closer to average for late September. Later Monday, the initial rains from Jeanne will likely move into eastern Virginia and the Chesapeake Bay region. Another cold front will swing into the Northeast Tuesday as a weakened Jeanne potentially zips off the Mid-Atlantic Coast with heavy rains continuing along its track. West The West will be relatively warm and dry through the weekend. An upper-level disturbance will enhance showers and thunderstorms over New Mexico, along with eastern Arizona and Colorado. Locally heavy rains are possible, particularly over the high Plains of New Mexico. After some recently very warm temperatures for much of coastal California, temperatures should dip back to average by early next week as a weak onshore flow returns. Another cold front and Canadian high pressure will nose down into Montana later Sunday and then continue to slide southward along and east of the Rockies on Monday. Until then, temperatures will be 5 to 15 degrees above average from parts of California, through the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin, into Montana.
  4. Please see these links: Herald.com http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/ Naples Daily News http://www.naplesnews.com/ South Florida Sun-Sentinel http://www.sun-sentinel.com/ WSVN-TV Miami http://www2.wsvn.com/news/articles/special_edition/C54687/
  5. E-newswires.com http://www.enewswires.com/ PHPBB for FREE http://www.phpbbforfree.com/ Building a community? Check this out.... http://www.daniweb.com/techtalkforums/forum50.html
  6. Welcome to CAPT. KB's place. Yeah I love to Kick Back and shoot the breeze about nearly everything and anything! LOL! This forum is for topics and discussion about nearly all other possible subjects. Members are welcome; guests can see this forum, but can't post or reply. You have to join to reply and post here. Just chill out and kick on back. However, Porn and hacking/cracking/warez topics and posts will get you kicked off the board and banned so fast your head will spin.
  7. At 930pm EDT on Friday September 24 2004 I opened a new category, Nearly Everything and Anything Else, and I opened a new forum within it, The Global Village. This category is our Off-topic area on this board. Enjoy!
  8. Florida in path of Hurricane Jeanne Storm would be fourth to hit Sunshine State this season Friday, September 24, 2004 Posted: 8:51 PM EDT (0051 GMT) Tom Mignogna boards up windows Friday in Satellite Beach as Hurricane Jeanne approaches Florida. HURRICANE JEANNE As of 8 p.m. Friday ET: # Position of center: 170 miles east of Great Abaco, Bahamas, and 355 miles east of Florida coast # Latitude: 26.5 north # Longitude: 74.3 west # Top sustained winds: 100 mph Source: National Hurricane Center MIAMI, Florida (CNN) -- Florida Gov. Jeb Bush declared a state of emergency Friday as the state prepared for the arrival of Jeanne, potentially the fourth hurricane to strike the Sunshine State this year. Four counties called for voluntary evacuations Friday, and mandatory evacuations of low-lying areas, barrier islands and mobile homes will go into effect in at least eight counties Saturday morning. Jeanne, which meandered for several days after inundating the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico and Haiti with rain as a tropical storm last week, is now on track to hit the Florida coast by Sunday, weather forecasters said. Projections show the Category 2 storm cutting through the northern Bahamas on Saturday and then heading toward Florida, possibly hitting the coast Sunday morning. As of 8 p.m. Friday ET, the center of the hurricane was 170 miles (275 kilometers) east of Great Abaco Island in the Bahamas, where a hurricane warning is in effect, the National Hurricane Center said. That position put the eye of the storm 355 miles (675 kilometers) east of the Florida coast. The storm was moving west near 12 mph (19 kph), the center said. Jeanne's top sustained winds held at 100 mph (160 kph), and hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 45 miles (75 kilometers) from the center. Winds of tropical storm force extended outward up to 150 miles (240 kilometers). The center said wind speed may increase during the next 24 hours. A hurricane warning was issued for the Florida coast from Florida City, south of Miami, to St. Augustine. A hurricane watch was issued for north of St. Augustine to Altamaha Sound, Georgia. Jeanne has left significant destruction in its wake. More than 1,100 Haitians were killed by the storm and the flooding that resulted. About 1,250 people still are missing there, six days after the storm hit, and the death toll is expected to rise as relief efforts continue. (Full story) International relief workers trying to distribute supplies Friday were mobbed by desperate people, many of whom said they had not eaten since their homes were destroyed last weekend, when Jeanne hit. Jeanne left more than 250,000 people homeless in Haiti's northwest province, which includes the port of Gonaives. The days since have been a desperate time of survival. Without ceremony, mass graves were being filled with both human and animal carcasses. Survivors set up camp on rooftops surrounded by contaminated waters and compromised food supplies. Florida braces again Jeanne follows hurricanes Charley and Frances, which hit the Florida Peninsula, and Ivan, which pounded the Panhandle, even though its eye made landfall on the Alabama coast. Bush warned the state to take Jeanne seriously. Calling it a "brutal" storm, he urged people to take in their neighbors as a way to help people move away from the coastline. "Yes, we are tired and our resources are stretched," he said, adding that the state has the additional complication of few available hotel rooms because so many are filled with relief workers. The National Hurricane Center's prediction of the most likely path has the storm making landfall between Fort Pierce and Melbourne, Florida, then hugging the coastline from Florida to the Carolinas. "I know this has become quite a challenge for people," the governor said. "On the east coast, there have been evacuation orders now on a regular basis, and maybe people are saying, 'enough of this. I'm gonna ride this one out.' "These storms are brutal in terms of the wind force, and this storm has the potential of being similar to Ivan in terms of the strength of the winds and a powerful force. I know people are frustrated. I know they're tired of this and, trust me, your governor is as well, but we should heed the warnings of the experts as it relates to evacuating" if the needs arise. The string of hurricanes has pummeled Florida's tourism industry, with many oceanfront resorts damaged and some highways washed out. (Full story) The hurricane center noted that sundown Friday until sundown Saturday will be Yom Kippur, a solemn Jewish holiday. Observant Jews in the watch and warning areas "will not be listening to radios or watching TV ... and may not be aware of the hurricane situation," the center said in a statement posted on its Web site. Residual problems remain Even as Florida prepares for Jeanne, electricity has not been completely restored from the previous storms. Bush said relief efforts have provided more than 7.4 million meals and 18 million pounds of ice. Schools are starting to open and government officials were working with power companies to get all power restored. Utility companies had restored power to 78 percent of homes in the Panhandle, he said. As of Thursday evening, about 68,000 customers were without electricity in Escambia County, and about 25,000 had no power in Santa Rosa County. Some hurricane-related power outages also continue in Alabama, Georgia and North Carolina. Ivan dumps heavy rains Meanwhile, Ivan weakened to a tropical depression as it moved inland along the southwestern Louisiana and upper Texas coasts. Parts of southwestern Louisiana received as much as 8 inches of rain, and Jefferson County, Texas, received between 3 and 3.5 inches in a four-hour period, The Associated Press reported. As of 5 p.m. ET, Ivan was between Huntsville and Lufkin, about 120 miles north of Houston, Texas. The storm had stalled, the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center in Camp Springs, Maryland, said. Ivan slammed ashore as a hurricane a week ago on the Alabama coast, spreading havoc from the Gulf Coast into North Carolina. Over the next few days, its remnants curled back into the Gulf of Mexico, where they regrouped and regained tropical storm strength late Wednesday. Source: http://www.cnn.com/2004/WEATHER/09/24/hurr...anne/index.html
  9. WARNING: This hurricane coverage is HORRIFIC and upsetting. Please go to: http://www.pensacolanewsjournal.com There are EXTENSIVE damage galleries on the above page. It is not for the faint-hearted. Please go to this URL for storm galleries: http://www.pensacolanewsjournal.com/news/g...galleries.shtml
  10. Panic erupts in flood-ravaged Haiti Farmer: 'We can only drink the water people died in' Thursday, September 23, 2004 Posted: 7:31 PM EDT (2331 GMT) A family takes the coffin of a relative to be buried in Gonaives, Haiti, on Wednesday. GONAIVES, Haiti (AP) -- Hungry, thirsty and increasingly desperate residents of Gonaives, Haiti, burned tires in protest and attacked each other in a panic to get scarce food and water Thursday as workers struggled to bury hundreds of victims of Tropical Storm Jeanne. More than 1,100 were killed, 1,250 were missing and the toll was still rising Thursday, six days after the storm hit. Hundreds pushed through a wooden barrier to crowd into the sole working clinic for treatment, but only one doctor was there Thursday morning. Some residents had grown so desperate to get rid of putrefying corpses they were burying them in their backyards. Health workers feared an epidemic from the unburied bodies and animal carcasses, overflowing sewage, lack of potable water and infections from injuries. The government's civil protection agency said more than 900 people have been treated, most for gashes from fallen zinc roofs. Medics from U.N. peacekeeping troops in Gonaives have helped treat the injured. But the main General Hospital remains out of commission -- knee-deep in mud that nurses said hide bodies of dozens of patients -- medical supplies are running out and some aid trucks were unable to reach to Gonaives Wednesday because the road was washed away in parts with others blocked by mudslides. About 250,000 were left homeless in Haiti's northwest province, which includes the port of Gonaives. "We were saved from the floods but now my baby is sick," said Marilucie Fortune, 30, who gave birth to a son in a slum at the weekend, as Jeanne pounded the city with its torrential rains for some 30 hours. Workers dug new mass graves for bodies that still littered the city, in mud caking the city, trapped in collapsed homes and floating in floodwaters that still ran knee-deep in some places. "There are so many bodies, you smell them but you don't see them," said farmer Louise Roland, who like many held a lime to her nose to mask the stench. In the seaside slum of Carenage, people were burying bodies of unidentified victims in their yards. That could cause yet another health hazard since bodies easily could be forced up from shallow seaside graves. "We need surgical masks, water and food," said Frantz Bernier, who was burning tires to protest the lack of government help. "We don't have anything." The official toll rose to 1,105 bodies recovered by Thursday -- the vast majority in Gonaives -- with 1,250 missing and nearly 1,000 injured, according to Dieufort Deslorges, spokesman for the government's civil protection agency. There are so many bodies, you smell them but you don't see them. -- Haitian farmer Louise Roland Police erected barbed wire around their station Thursday after people fired shots at the station overnight. Officer Louis Francois said they feared attack by about 20 escaped inmates who escaped from jail during the storm. Most of the city's police officers were left homeless by the floods and were handicapped because they only had one vehicle that was not working he said. Their helplessness enraged residents, who have started throwing rocks at the few riot police the government sent in to help. Aid workers fear an eruption of waterborne diseases, especially diarrhea and cholera. "It's a critical situation in terms of epidemics, because of the bodies still in the streets, because people are drinking dirty water and scores are getting injuries from debris -- huge cuts that are getting infected," said Francoise Gruloos, Haiti director for the U.N. Children's Fund. Martine Vice-Aimee, an 18-year-old mother of two whose home was destroyed, said people already were falling ill. "People are getting sick from the water, they're walking in it, their skin is getting itchy and rashes. The water they're drinking is giving them stomach aches." Limited distribution by aid workers left most people still hungry and thirsty. "We can only drink the water people died in," Lebrun, the farmer, complained. Aid agencies have dry food stocked in Gonaives, but few have the means to cook. Food for the Poor, based in Deerfield, Florida, said its truckloads of relief were unable to reach the city Wednesday. Troops from the Brazilian-led U.N. peacekeeping forcing were ferrying in some supplies by helicopter. Peacekeepers fired into the air Wednesday to keep a crowd at bay as aid workers handed out loaves of bread -- the first food in days for some. The International Federation of Red Cross and Crescent Societies appealed for $3.3 million to fund relief operations, and several nations were sending help. Jeanne's rain-laden system proved deadly in Haiti, where more than 98 percent of the land is deforested and torrents of water and mudslides smashed down denuded hills and into the city. Floodwater lines on buildings went up to 10 feet high. The disaster follows devastating floods in May, along the Haiti-Dominican Republic border, which left 1,191 dead and 1,484 missing in Haiti and 395 dead and 274 missing on the Dominican side. The countries share the island of Hispaniola. Source: http://www.cnn.com/2004/WEATHER/09/23/hait...e.ap/index.html
  11. Tourism suffers in hurricane-ravaged Florida Friday, September 24, 2004 Posted: 5:21 AM EDT (0921 GMT) Hurricane Ivan destroyed the road to Florida's Navarre Beach. COCOA BEACH, Florida (AP) -- Bill and Carol Tharp grasped each other for support as five-foot waves crashed against them in the surf off this Atlantic Coast beach made famous by NASA astronauts and the 1960s television show "I Dream of Jeannie." They were the only tourists in sight along a seemingly endless stretch of sand which only two weeks earlier was battered by Hurricane Frances. They started their vacation this week, just days after Hurricane Ivan tore up Florida's Panhandle and more than a month after Hurricane Charley plowed through the state. The back-to-back-to-back hurricanes have pummeled expensive oceanfront resorts, eroding sandy beaches and damaging some hotels. A fourth hurricane, Jeanne, is threatening to hit over the weekend. The economic effect of the hurricanes on the state's tourism has yet to be calculated, but it could be in the billions of dollars. "Everybody told us 'Don't go to Florida!"' said Carol Tharp, 50, a counselor from Cookeville, Tennessee. "But we're here and we're enjoying it." Only a hundred yards from where the Tharps frolicked in the water, though, was the Holiday Inn Cocoa Beach, temporarily closed because of water damage from Frances and a testament to the biggest crisis to hit Florida's $51 billion tourism industry since the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks caused a 20 percent drop in Florida tourism. A 1 percent loss in annual market share for the state equals a loss of $5.4 billion in tourism-related spending. Tourism is the state's largest industry, accounting for almost a tenth of Florida's $500 billion economy. Florida ranks only behind California as the nation's top tourism destination. Hotel occupancy rates in two of Florida's largest markets, Miami and Tampa, were down 22 percent last week compared to the same time last year, according to Smith Travel Research. Both markets suffered only minor damage from the hurricanes. "We are very concerned about the image that Florida has gotten because Florida has gotten so much negative publicity over the last 45 days," said Tom Waits, president and CEO of the Florida Hotel & Motel Association. The Holiday Inn Cocoa Beach, which housed the Mercury 7 astronauts in the early 1960s, had roofs partially ripped off of three beachside buildings by Frances. All 502 rooms sustained some water damage, causing $3 million to $4 million in repairs. The hotel will be closed until early next month. The hotel "has been here since 1962 and she has experienced quite a lot, but this is the hardest hit she has ever taken," said general manager Shay Baranowski. Along the Atlantic Coast, thousands of the state's 400,000 hotel rooms have been closed for weeks since Frances blew through. Most of the damage is cosmetic rather than structural, but many hotels may not reopen until the end of the year when the busy Christmas season starts. The 118 rooms at the Hilton Melbourne Beach Oceanfront along Florida's Space Coast were soaked by Frances, requiring drywall and carpets to be replaced and causing several million dollars in damage and lost business. The hotel restaurant's ceiling was destroyed, requiring seating booths, industrial refrigerators and shelves of canned olives and beans to be temporarily relocated in a carpeted ballroom. Clear plastic tubes, one-foot in diameter, snake along the ceiling of the hotel's first floor blowing hot air into water-damaged rooms. The Breakers, the aristocratic 108-year-old resort in Palm Beach, closed for three weeks after Frances because of roof and water damage. The equally posh Ritz-Carlton, Palm Beach, also closed but hasn't set a date to reopen. In southwest Florida's Charlotte County, which felt the brunt of Hurricane Charley's Category 4 winds last month, about a third of the 3,300 hotel rooms were damaged at a cost of millions of dollars. Hundreds of hotel workers are without jobs in this county where tourism accounts for more than a tenth of the 57,000 job market. Tourism has ground to a complete halt in the Pensacola area where the main attraction -- the area's beaches -- have been made almost inaccessible by Ivan. Many of the roads leading to the beaches are covered by 10 feet of sand and won't be reopened for weeks. Many beachside condominiums and hotels were blown away by the hurricane and many of those that remain are lacking electricity, water and operational sewers. Throughout the state, tourism officials are busy rebuilding Florida's image as a vacation hotspot. "We need to let people know we're up and operational," said Bob Warren, president and CEO of the Panama City Beach Convention & Visitors Bureau. Source: http://www.cnn.com/2004/TRAVEL/09/24/flori...m.ap/index.html
  12. Haiti mob attacks relief truck Death toll nears 1,200, with 1,200 more missing Friday, September 24, 2004 Posted: 6:39 PM EDT (2239 GMT) GONAIVES, Haiti (AP) -- U.N. troops fired smoke grenades Friday as crowds of Haitian flood victims tried to break into a food distribution site, increasingly desperate over the slow pace of relief after Tropical Storm Jeanne devastated the city. At least 1,160 people were killed in last weekend's storm and crews are continuing to find bodies in the mud and debris. Another 1,250 people remained missing. About 500 people gathered at a Roman Catholic school where CARE International passed out food to women only in hopes of reducing the crowds. The crowd swelled, however, and men, women and children tried to push through an iron gate. Argentine U.N. troops fired grenades, chasing people away. But the sunburned, unwashed flood victims returned in surges once the air cleared of smoke. "We need everything -- bread, clothes, clean water, food," said Mosau Alveus, 25, who showed up at 6 a.m. and came away hours later with just a bag of grain. Genevieve Montaguere, a nun from Guadeloupe, said the school distributed food for 1,000 families but ran out of drinking water. Mud has formed a crust across this city of 250,000. Hungry and thirsty survivors -- some of whom lost entire families and everything they own in last week's floods -- were becoming increasingly desperate. "This is crazy," said Arito Ferreira, a Portuguese police officer among the 650 U.N. peacekeepers in Gonaives. "They come in here without warning. They are trying to do good but people will get hurt." An 18-wheeler carrying relief supplies from the Church of God was attacked by residents when it entered the city. People jumped on the moving truck, pried open the doors and threw out boxes of supplies. Troops shoved and pushed crowds off the truck. "It's dangerous and difficult, but we have to come here," said Keteline Richards, 24, who lined up at the school for a second day looking for aid. The food carriers battled their way to Gonaives from the port of St. Marc to the south, fording floodwaters and mudslides that remain a hazard on National Route 1. At least three truckloads of aid were mired in ditches along the flooded road Thursday. Poorly maintained roads disintegrated and utilities failed, compounding problems for relief workers. "Trucking in clean water to Gonaives is a logistical nightmare," said Abby Maxman, a local director for CARE. Floodwaters finally receded Friday in the seaside slum of Raboteau, one of the hardest-hit areas. Mud caked over animal carcasses and storm debris, and people rushed to clean mounds from their homes -- those without shovels using branches from downed trees. Many residents held limes to their noses to mask the smell of decaying bodies and overflowing sewage. The General Hospital was out of commission because of knee-deep mud believed to still hold bodies, and medical supplies were running out. Health workers feared an outbreak of waterborne diseases. "It's a critical situation in terms of epidemics," said Francoise Gruloos, Haiti director for the U.N. Children's Fund. Some 1,013 bodies were counted and buried in the city by Thursday night, said Dieufort Deslorges, spokesman for the government's civil protection agency. But an Associated Press photographer on the ground watched people stop the burial of a truckload of bodies Thursday. Cemetery workers demanded money for the extra work. Others objected that no religious rites accompanied the burials -- many Haitians believe a corpse interred without ceremony will wander and commit evil acts. "We stopped the burial yesterday because it smelled so bad," gravedigger Jeudi Nestin said. "It's infecting our lungs and they're not paying us." Other protesters wanted officials to recover bodies in waterlogged surrounding fields and to help search for the missing. "They may be presumed dead," said Toussaint Kongo-Doudou, a spokesman for the U.N. stabilization mission in Haiti, which put the number of missing at 1,251. Deslorges said the number of bodies recovered had risen to 1,160 by Friday morning and nearly 300,000 people were homeless in Haiti's northwest province. In the neighboring Dominican Republic, the death toll rose to 24 after rescue workers discovered five bodies crushed in a collapsed cave near the northern tourist town of Samana. Jeanne also killed seven people in Puerto Rico, making the overall Caribbean death toll at least 1,191. At dawn Friday, a group of farmers walked across fields turned to swamps, carrying empty buckets and sacks in hopes of buying something to eat at Aupotau market town where they usually sell their produce -- the closest place that is not devastated, they said. Two overcrowded tap-taps -- Haiti's gaily painted truck-buses -- passed them by before they got a ride, indicating the shortage of transportation because of flooding and a shortage of gasoline. Where it could be found, gas had tripled to $6 a gallon. Only Antonie Netsede had something to sell -- a sack of eggplant she dug from the mud that had destroyed her onions and shallots. "This is the last of what I have," she said. Several nations have been flying in relief food and supplies. In addition, members of the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies have sent aid, the federation's Hans Havik said. But getting the relief supplies to the needy would be difficult, he said. "We're working on organizing security at the distribution points because this is an increasingly important issue with people going four or five days without food or water," Havik said. The U.S. government has said it would provide more than $2 million -- an increase from $60,000 that some criticized for its paucity. The crisis was only the latest in long-suffering Haiti, a country of 8 million people that has suffered 30 coups fed on greed that perpetuated endemic poverty. This week's tragedy was fueled by massive deforestation that left surrounding valleys unable to hold the rain unleashed by some 30 hours of pounding by Jeanne. Source: http://www.cnn.com/2004/WEATHER/09/24/hait...e.ap/index.html
  13. Fourth hurricane eyes Florida Friday, September 24, 2004 Posted: 12:40 PM EDT (1640 GMT) Hurricane Jeanne was 290 miles east of Great Abaco Island at 11 a.m. Friday. HURRICANE JEANNE As of 11 a.m. ET Friday: # Position of center: 290 miles east of Great Abaco, Bahamas # Latitude: 26.2 north # Longitude: 72.4 west # Top sustained winds: 100 mph Source: National Hurricane Center GONAIVES, Haiti (CNN) -- Hurricane Jeanne continued its westward crawl toward the northern Bahamas and a possible landfall in Florida after killing more than 1,100 people in Haiti. Florida is bracing for what may be the fourth hurricane in a row as forecasters predict a Sunday morning landfall somewhere along the state's east coast. The National Hurricane Center said Jeanne is likely to strengthen into a powerful Category 3 storm over the weekend. It already has left major destruction in its wake. In Haiti, international relief workers trying to distribute supplies on Friday were mobbed by hungry, desperate people, many of whom said they had not eaten since their homes were destroyed last weekend, when Jeanne still was a tropical storm. Some 1,250 people still are missing in Haiti, six days after the storm hit, and the death toll is expected to rise as recovery and relief efforts continue. (Full story) Jeanne left more than 250,000 people homeless in Haiti's northwest province, which includes the port of Gonaives. The days since have been a desperate time of survival. Without ceremony, mass graves were being filled with both human and animal carcasses. Survivors set up camp on house tops surrounded by contaminated waters and compromised food supplies. Jeanne is now heading toward the Bahamas. At 11 a.m. ET, the center of the hurricane was 290 miles east of Great Abaco Island in northwestern Bahamas, where a hurricane warning is in effect, the National Hurricane Center said. Jeanne's top winds held at 100 mph. It was moving west at near 9 mph, with some increase in forward speed expected during the next 24 hours, the NHC said. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles. Dangerous surf and rip currents, caused by large swells from the hurricane, are possible along the southeastern Florida coast, the center said. Hurricane watch on Florida coast As the storm moves closer to Florida, a hurricane watch has been issued along the coast from Florida City, south of Miami, to St. Augustine, including Lake Okeechobee. The hurricane center noted that sundown Friday until sundown Saturday will be Yom Kippur, the solemn Jewish holiday. Observants in the watch and warning areas "will not be listening to radios or watching TV ... and may not be aware of the hurricane situation," the center said in a statement posted on its Web site. Jeanne follows hurricanes Charley and Frances, which hit the Florida peninsula, and Ivan, which pounded the Florida Panhandle, even though its eye made landfall on the Alabama coast. Florida Gov. Jeb Bush warned the state to take Jeanne seriously. Calling it a "brutal" storm, he urged people to take in their neighbors as a way to help people move away from the coastline. "Yes, we are tired and our resources are stretched," he said, adding that the state has the additional complication of few available hotel rooms because so many are filled with relief workers. Although there are several tracks that might be taken by the hurricane, currently a Category 2 storm, "most of the computer projections, at least at this time, have it continuing toward the Florida peninsula," Mayfield said. "The way it looks now, we will indeed have an impact in Florida. I don't see any way to get around that," he said. Jeanne should strengthen and could become a major hurricane -- Category 3 -- on Friday. May hit Florida on Sunday Projections show the storm cutting through the northern Bahamas on Saturday and then heading straight to Florida. There is a strong chance tropical-storm-force winds could reach the east or east-central coast of Florida by Saturday afternoon. Jeanne is on track to hit the Florida coastline by Sunday morning, weather forecasters said, with winds of up to 115 mph. One of the projected courses has the storm hitting Melbourne, Florida, as a Category 3 storm with winds up to 115 mph, then curving up the East Coast toward the Carolinas. Other projections show the hurricane cutting straight across Florida from east to west and moving up toward the Panhandle. "Sometimes it feels like this is a test of resiliency for our state," Bush said. "Other times I feel like I'm Bill Murray in 'Groundhog Day,'" the movie in which the same horrible day is repeated over and over again. The string of hurricanes has pummeled Florida's tourism industry, with many oceanfront resorts damaged and some highways washed out. (Full story) Even as Florida prepares for Jeanne, electricity has not been completely restored from the previous storms. Bush said relief efforts have provided more than 7.4 million meals and 18 million pounds of ice. Schools are starting to open and government officials were working with power companies to get all power restored. Bush said utility companies had restored power to 78 percent of homes in the Panhandle. As of Thursday evening, about 68,000 customers were without electricity in Escambia County, Florida, and about 25,000 had no power in Santa Rosa County. Hurricane and tropical-storm related power outages also continue in Alabama, Georgia and North Carolina. Roughly 72,500 business and residential customers of electric cooperatives, Alabama Power Co. and city-owned utilities in Alabama still were without power Thursday, a week after Hurricane Ivan hit, electric executives said. Ivan initially left 112,000 Georgia customers without power, but only a handful of clients remained without power in that state. And in North Carolina, electric cooperatives continue to make progress with restoration efforts in the western part of the state, with 9,654 outages remaining. Ivan dumps heavy rains Meanwhile, Ivan weakened to a tropical depression as it moved inland along the southwestern Louisiana and upper Texas coasts. Parts of southwestern Louisiana received as much as 8 inches of rain, and Jefferson County in Texas received between 3 and 3.5 inches in a four-hour period, The Associated Press reported. At 5 a.m. ET Friday, it was about 35 miles northwest of Port Arthur, Texas. The storm was moving northwest at 8 mph with 30 mph winds. It is expected to continue weakening as it moves farther inland. Ivan slammed ashore as a hurricane a week ago on the Alabama coast, spreading havoc from there into North Carolina. Over the next few days, its remnants curled back into the Gulf of Mexico, where they regrouped and regained tropical storm strength late Wednesday. Source: http://www.cnn.com/2004/WEATHER/09/24/hurr...anne/index.html
  14. Florida Residents Urged to Flee Hurricane 39 minutes ago By JILL BARTON, Associated Press Writer FORT PIERCE, Fla. - About three-quarters of a million residents of Florida's east coast were urged to evacuate — again — as Hurricane Jeanne churned westward Friday and threatened to become the fourth hurricane to pound the state in the last six weeks. The 100-mph storm could come ashore somewhere on the state's east coast by Sunday, targeting some of the same areas hit by previous storms and potentially turning piles of still-uncleared debris into deadly missiles. "I'm not staying in this bunch of junk," 76-year-old Ed Oglesby said as he patched his torn roof in a Hutchinson Island mobile home park still littered with twisted metal and insulation from homes wrecked by Hurricane Frances. A single state hasn't been hit by four hurricanes in a single season since Texas in 1886. Jeanne could continue a devastating run that has thrashed Florida's Panhandle (Ivan), southwest coast (Charley) and the state's midsection (Frances). Together, they have caused billions of dollars of damage and at least 70 deaths in the state. "I know people are frustrated, they're tired of all this," Gov. Jeb Bush said. "Trust me, their governor is as well." Crews with bulldozers worked Friday to clear the mess of flattened homes, torn roofs and snapped trees left over when Frances tore through the heart of the state earlier this month. But many acknowledged it was a losing battle. "With another hurricane, there's just too much there — we just don't have the manpower to get it all done," said Martin County spokesman Greg Sowell, who estimated nearly 80 percent of debris remained from Frances. He said some streets had debris piled 5 feet to 6 feet high. Pam Custis shed tears Friday as she looked at a heap of smashed furniture and flooded carpets in front of her Fort Pierce condominium, which has been stripped to a skeleton of concrete floors and metal frames. The debris pile was as tall as she is. "This is all we have left," she said of her condo's shell. "When this other hurricane comes, this pile is going to be knocking down the rest of it." Eight counties along about 300 miles of coastline issued evacuation orders for residents on barrier islands, low-lying areas and mobile homes. That includes more than 750,000 people. But with almost the entire state in Jeanne's danger zone and a hurricane warning stretching from Miami-Dade County in the south to St. Augustine in the north, some questioned whether there was any safe place to run. "I ain't going anywhere unless they make me," retiree Larry Ruby said as he patched the roof of his Hutchinson Island mobile home. "I don't think you can get away from it." Jeanne, already blamed for at least 1,100 flooding deaths in Haiti, looked earlier this week like it had turned north and safely out to sea, but it whipped around in a loop and headed straight for Florida. At 5 p.m., Jeanne was centered about 400 miles east of Miami and moving west at 12 mph. Forecasters said it could strengthen as it reaches warmer waters closer to Florida's coast. An eventual turn to the northwest was predicted, but it was unclear when that would happen, and some models show the storm strafing the East Coast all the way up to North Carolina by Tuesday. Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches were expected in the storm's path and flooding could be a major concern because previous hurricanes have already saturated many canals, rivers and lakes. The timing of the storm raised concern for Jews observing Yom Kippur. The holiest day on the Jewish calendar begins at sundown Friday and ends sundown Saturday. During that period, observant Jews usually do not work or carry cash and many do not travel by car, all of which could hamper their hurricane preparations. The National Hurricane Center (news - web sites) advisory even asked people to consider that Jewish neighbors may not be listening to radios or watching television and may be unaware of the situation. "I don't know if I will evacuate or not," physician Armand Braun said as he stocked up supplies at a grocery store in Satellite Beach. "Jewish law says you put Jewish requirements aside if there is any danger." Taking nothing for granted, residents up and down Florida's Atlantic coast went about what has become an all-too-familiar ritual. In Broward County, lines of cars spilled onto streets outside gas stations as people, remembering gas shortages from Frances, filled up their tanks. Kennedy Space Center (news - web sites), still trying to repair damage to a massive assembly building caused by Frances, was ordered closed Friday to all nonessential personnel. Three other tropical systems were spinning Friday, but none of them threatened Florida. Hurricane Ivan's weakened remnants rolled ashore into east Texas and threatened to dump up to 10 inches of rain in the Houston area. But except for some isolated downpours in southeast Texas, the average rainfall amounts were less than 2 inches as of midday Friday. ___ On the Net: National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov SOURCE: http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=stor...anne_florida_17
  15. Tropical Depression LISA 000 WTNT43 KNHC 240237 TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004 SHORTWAVE INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED ABOUT 80 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. 20 KT OF NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR CONTINUES TO IMPACT LISA. THE SHIPS MODEL SUGGESTS SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE NORTHERLY SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTERWARD...THE INTENSITY MODEL INDICATES THAT LISA WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID/UPPER TROUGH FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE GFS INDICATES STRONGER SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR BY DAY 4 AND OPENS LISA INTO A WAVE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST BUT NOT QUITE AS GENEROUS AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/6 KT. FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITHIN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TO CONFORM WITH THE CONU CONSENSUS. FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 14.7N 42.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 24/1200Z 15.1N 42.8W 30 KT 24HR VT 25/0000Z 15.9N 44.1W 30 KT 36HR VT 25/1200Z 16.9N 45.1W 30 KT 48HR VT 26/0000Z 18.5N 46.0W 35 KT 72HR VT 27/0000Z 21.0N 47.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 28/0000Z 24.0N 48.0W 45 KT 120HR VT 29/0000Z 28.5N 48.5W 50 KT $$
  16. Hurricane KARL 000 WTNT42 KNHC 240247 TCDAT2 HURRICANE KARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004 KARL IS NOW EXPERIENCING STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS BECOMING DETACHED FROM THE MORE OBVIOUS MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. AS SUCH...THE INITIAL POSITION IS BECOMING MORE UNCERTAIN. CI NUMBERS HAVE FALLEN TO 5.5...5.0...AND 4.0 FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT A COMPROMISE OF 80 KT. A DRIFTING BUOY NEAR THE CENTER REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 963 MB...WHICH WOULD NORMALLY SUPPORT A STRONGER TROPICAL CYCLONE...BUT THIS PRESSURE-WIND RELATIONSHIP IS ALLOWABLE FOR A HIGH-LATITUDE STORM. THE CLOUD PATTERN SUGGESTS THAT KARL IS IN THE FIRST STAGES OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION...WHICH SHOULD BE COMPLETED WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES ENVELOPED WITHIN THE BELT OF STRONG WESTERLIES SOUTH OF GREENLAND. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE GFDL...WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE BEEN CORRECTLY FORECASTING THE HURRICANE'S RECENT INTENSITY TRENDS. THIS IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. KARL IS STILL ACCELERATING WITH AN INITIAL MOTION OF 020/26. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE MOVING IN A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT WILL THEN MAKE A RAPID TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT MOVES INTO THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A TAD TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS...DUE TO A WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE MODEL CONSENSUS. KARL IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW NORTH OF THE BRITISH ISLES BY 72 HOURS. FORECASTER BERG/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 38.7N 41.5W 80 KT 12HR VT 24/1200Z 42.6N 40.9W 75 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 25/0000Z 47.5N 39.4W 65 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 25/1200Z 52.2N 35.4W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 26/0000Z 57.0N 27.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 27/0000Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW $$
  17. Hurricane JEANNE 000 WTNT41 KNHC 240251 TCDAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE DISCUSSION NUMBER 42 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004 ALTHOUGH THE EYE IS QUITE DISTINCT AND THERE IS GOOD ORGANIZATION... THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED. THIS WAS PROBABLY CAUSED BY THE FACT THAT JEANNE HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR A DAY OR SO...RESULTING IN UPWELLING AND COOLER WATERS. THE WINDS COULD BE LOWERED AT THIS TIME BUT I RATHER WAIT FOR THE RECON WHICH WILL CHECK THE INTENSITY EARLY FRIDAY. SO FOR NOW THE WINDS REMAIN AT 90 KNOTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA...AND AS SOON AS JEANNE MOVES WESTWARD OVER THIS AREA...IT WILL ENCOUNTER WARMER WATERS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS THEN ANTICIPATED. THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE IN THE STEERING PATTERN AND IT APPEARS THAT THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING NORTH OF THE HURRICANE HAS BEGUN TO FORCE JEANNE WESTWARD OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KNOTS. AS THE HIGH CONTINUES TO BUILD...THE HURRICANE SHOULD INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. BY THEN...THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD AND THE HURRICANE WILL TURN GRADUALLY TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND THE HIGH. THIS TURN COULD EITHER OCCUR OVER THE PENINSULA OR ALONG THE EAST COAST. NEVERTHERLESS...JEANNE IS A THREAT TO FLORIDA. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH GLOBAL MODELS AND THE CONSENSUS...WHICH CONSISTENTLY HAVE BEEN BRINGING THE HURRICANE OVER OR NEAR FLORIDA FOR THE PAST FEW RUNS. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 26.1N 70.8W 90 KT 12HR VT 24/1200Z 26.1N 72.2W 95 KT 24HR VT 25/0000Z 26.1N 74.5W 100 KT 36HR VT 25/1200Z 26.2N 77.0W 105 KT 48HR VT 26/0000Z 26.5N 79.0W 105 KT 72HR VT 27/0000Z 29.0N 81.0W 75 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 28/0000Z 33.0N 80.5W 45 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 29/0000Z 38.0N 73.0W 35 KT...OVER WATER $$
  18. Tropical Depression IVAN 000 WTNT44 KNHC 240255 TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 72 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004 RECON AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT CENTER OF IVAN MOVED INLAND JUST TO THE WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA. WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 30 KNOTS. BECAUSE STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...ONLY A SMALL WESTWARD DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS COULD BE A RAIN MAKER FOR THE REGION. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 29.8N 93.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 24/1200Z 30.5N 94.5W 25 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 25/0000Z 30.5N 95.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 25/1200Z 29.5N 96.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/0000Z 29.0N 97.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$
  19. Ivan may produce flooding while Jeanne threatens Florida 8:57 P.M. ET Thu.,Sep.23,2004 Tom Moore, Sr. Meteorologist, The Weather Channel Tropical Storm Ivan is moving inland along the coast of southwestern Louisiana. While Ivan is not expected to pack much of a wind punch, it will cause coastal flooding and then inland flooding over Texas. Meanwhile, category-2 Hurricane Jeanne is several hundred miles east of the Bahamas. Jeanne is migrating slowly westward around the south side of a large high pressure ridge building from the western Atlantic into the Southeastern States. Eventually the hurricane will be drawn northwestward and then perhaps northward around the periphery of the high which places the Florida Peninsula in its path. Landfall may occur as early as Sunday morning and areas from Ft. Pierce to West Palm Beach are becoming more under the gun. More heavy rain may be also in store from this storm. The future of Hurricane Karl is about the only certainty in the tropical forecasting business right now. Karl is accelerating northward in the central Atlantic and will pose no threat to the U. S. Southeast of Karl, however, the future of downgraded Tropical Depression Lisa remains uncertain. The system absorbed a separate tropical disturbance that moved in from the east. Regardless, Lisa is a long way from the Lesser Antilles and even farther from the U. S., and may just turn more northward without affecting land. http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
  20. Flooding rains possible from Ivan while Hurricane Jeanne eyes Florida 9:11 P.M. ET 9/23/2004 Tom Moore, Senior Meteorologist, The Weather Channel South Remnants of Tropical Storm Ivan may produce locally torrential flooding rains into parts of Texas and Louisisna over the next couple of days. Meanwhile, Hurricane Jeanne has started on a westward track that could bring it into the northern Bahamas Saturday and into the Florida Peninsula as early as Sunday. The exact path and intensity of Jeanne at landfall is still uncertain but those along the Atlantic Coast of Florida and points inland should keep close track of Jeanne on TWC and weather.com and take necessary precautions. Midwest An area of low pressure will produce some rain over parts of the Upper Midwest into Friday. A cold front associated with the low will slide eastward through Michigan, the mid-Mississippi Valley and the Ohio Valley with scattered showers on Friday and Saturday. Behind the front, the weekend will be gorgeous with temperatures as much as 5 to 10 degrees above average from the Dakotas to Upper Michigan. A new cold front will bring a few showers and thunderstorms to northern Minnesota, the Dakotas, Nebraska and western Kansas by early next week. Northeast After a pleasant Friday, a cold front will move through the Northeast on Saturday with only a slight risk of showers. High temperatues will range from near average along the Eastern Seaboard to as much as 15 degrees above average across Upstate New York. Hurricane Jeanne could affect the Eastern Seaboard in the coming week so stay tuned. West After an active week, the West will be relatively tranquil through the weekend. An upper-level disturbance will enhance showers and thunderstorms over New Mexico, easternmost Arizona and Colorado. By Saturday, the warm offshore flow over California will weaken and the marine layer will return. A new cold front and Canadian high pressure will nose down into Montana later Sunday and then continue to slide southward along and east of the Rockies on Monday. Until then, temperatures will be 5 to 15 degrees above average from parts of California, through the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin, into Montana. Source: http://www.weather.com/newscenter/fcstsummary.html
  21. Hurricane IVAN 000 WTNT44 KNHC 090231 TCDAT4 HURRICANE IVAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT WED SEP 08 2004 IVAN WENT THROUGH A PERIOD OF RAPID DEEPENING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE CENTRAL PRESSURE FALLING FROM 951 TO 938 MB IN A PERIOD OF ABOUT 5.5 HOURS. THE MAXIMUM 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL-WINDS WERE 131 KT...AND A NORTHEAST EYEWALL DROPSONDE SUGGESTED SURFACE WINDS NEAR 120 KT. BASED ON THE DROPSONDE AND THE PRESSURE...THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 125 KT...WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH 127 KT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA. THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE OF THE HURRICANE HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE THE HURRICANE HUNTER LEFT...SO IT IS UNKNOWN IF THE DEEPENING HAS CONTINUED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY COULD BE A LITTLE CONSERVATIVE. IVAN HAS NUDGED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT DURING THE EVENING AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 290/15. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY DURING THE FIRST 48 HR...AS IVAN SHOULD CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD JAMAICA ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THINGS GETS MORE UNCERTAIN AFTER 48 HR...AS THE RIDGE STARTS TO WEAKEN DUE TO A DIGGING MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE RIDGE. THIS COMBINATION SHOULD ALLOW IVAN TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWARD...WITH THE USUAL QUESTIONS OF WHERE AND WHEN. THE GFS...GFDL...NOGAPS...AND FSU SUPERENSEMBLE HAVE ALL SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT...WITH THE GFS RECURVING IVAN THROUGH THE BAHAMAS...THE GFDL MOVING IT INTO SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...THE NOGAPS MOVING IT UP THE LENGTH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE SUPERENSEMBLE PASSING JUST WEST OF KEY WEST. GIVEN THE INCONSISTENCY OF THE MODELS...AND THE LEFTWARD NUDGE THAT OCCURRED THIS EVENING...THE FORECAST TRACK WILL NOT SHIFT AS FAR EAST AS THE GUIDANCE AT THIS TIME. THE NEW TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK FOR THE FIRST 24-36 HR AND THEN SOMEWHAT TO THE RIGHT AFTER 72 HR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR IVAN TO REACH 135 KT IN 12 HR ON THE PREMISE THAT THE AFTERNOON STRENGTHENING WILL CONTINUE. AFTER THAT...VARIOUS ANALYSES INDICATE THAT IVAN SHOULD PASS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND REDUCED MAXIMUM POTENTIAL INTENSITY FOR ABOUT 24 HR. THIS COMBINED WITH AN EXPECTED CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLE SHOULD CAUSE SOME WEAKENING. WARMER WATER AWAITS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WHICH WOULD ALLOW SOME STRENGTHENING WHEN IVAN IS NOT HITTING LAND OR UNDERGOING CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLES. AFTER 96 HR...SOME WESTERLY SHEAR MAY DEVELOP AND THE INTENSITY FORECAST REFLECTS A SLIGHT WEAKENING AT 120 HR. WHILE THE INTENSITY UPS AND DOWNS MAY BE MORE PRONOUNCED THAN FORECAST HERE...IVAN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0300Z 13.6N 69.1W 125 KT 12HR VT 09/1200Z 14.5N 71.0W 135 KT 24HR VT 10/0000Z 15.9N 73.4W 130 KT 36HR VT 10/1200Z 17.4N 75.6W 125 KT 48HR VT 11/0000Z 18.6N 77.5W 120 KT...NEAR JAMAICA 72HR VT 12/0000Z 21.0N 80.0W 125 KT 96HR VT 13/0000Z 23.5N 82.0W 120 KT 120HR VT 14/0000Z 27.0N 82.5W 115 KT $$
  22. Feel free to add to this list everybody. ------------------------------ Feb 22 2006 Vigilant Weather bb (LC advertised it in his newsletter today) http://board.vigilantweather.com/ ------------------------------ Feb 21 2006 Tropical Weather Watchers II http://www.tropicalweatherwatchers2.com/ ------------------------------ Feb 20 2006 FIRE WEATHER http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sew/fire/olm/tmp_fcst.htm ------------------------------ Feb 18 2006 Jerusalem snow pics http://www.virtualjerusalem.com/leisure/je..._id=1494&page=0 WeatherDudes.Com http://www.weatherdudes.com/ ------------------------------- Feb 17 2006 SiteZap webcam http://137.141.14.18/html_only/default.html Weather World Forecasts http://www.ems.psu.edu/WeatherWorld/forecasts/climate.html ------------------------------ Feb 16 2006 The Weather Vane http://www.theweathervane.info/forum/index.php 2/12/2003 Snow Roller Event http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ilx/events/roller/roller.php ------------------------------- Feb 7 2006 1215pm Athens webcam http://nifada.com/webcam/webcam.htm Athens snow pics http://nifada.com/Images/snow_230106.htm -------------------------------- Jan 24 2006 Russia's new cold war: -96 degrees F. http://abcnews.go.com/International/CSM/story?id=1534058 --------------------------------- Jan 24 2006 115am Mauna Kea snow http://www.wjactv.com/wxcam/1505090/detail.html Snowstorm Closes Hawaii Volcano To Tourists http://www.wjactv.com/weather/6377419/detail.html http://www.skihawaii.com/ --------------------------------- Jan 22 2006 1054pm The Weather Hood The Weather Hood has been moved to another server, I just got an email today directing me to the new site located at: http://www.theweatherhood.com/bb/index.php --------------------------------- Jan 21 2006 3pm How to Read a Weather Map http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/(Gh)/guides/maps/home.rxml That is one hell of a good website!!! Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/PUBLIC/ Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation (NCODA) https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/PUBLIC/NCODA/ncoda.html --------------------------------- Wave Life Cycle II: Propagation and Dispersion http://meted.ucar.edu/marine/mod3_wlc_propdis/index.htm Jan 20 2006 745pm ----------------------------------- Matt Noyes Weather Blog http://mattnoyes.blogs.com/ Matt Noyes website: MATTNOYES.NET http://www.mattnoyes.net/ Matthew Greenstein's Web Page http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/greenstein/ Surprise snow Jan 2000 http://eobglossary.gsfc.nasa.gov/Study/Blizzard/ Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/reports/waobr/weather/ NEW DOMAIN for The Weather Vane!!!! http://theweathervane.info/forum/index.php? South Central Ontario Storms http://www.scostorms.com/ Jan 16 2006 116pm Fujita Tornado Damage Scale http://www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/tornado/f-scale.html Enhanced F Scale for Tornado Damage http://www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/tornado/ef-scale.html ------------------------------------ Jan 7 2006 931pm Storm Chase Summaries http://www.skyodyssey.com/chases.html Sky Odyssey BLOG http://skyodyssey.blogspot.com/ StormWiki http://stormwiki.unk.edu:16080/index.php/Main_Page The Weather Channels Club http://tv.groups.yahoo.com/group/theweatherchannelsclub/ ------------------------------------ ActiveWx site http://www.activewx.com/ Added Jan 2 2006 1142pm Rossby Waves http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather...info/rossby.htm Rossby Waves Carl-Gustav ROSSBY (1898-1957) http://www.magma.ca/~jdreid/Rossby.htm -----------------------------------^^^Dec 27 2005 WOW, Check out this webpage!! It looks like the North Atlantic Current is SLOWING!! Woo-Hoo!!! Special Reports : Gulf Stream - Philadelphia Inquirer (Added 257pm Dec 19 2005.) http://www.philly.com/mld/inquirer/news/sp...ges/gulfstream/ Gulf Stream Link See also this EUSWX Thread: Gulf Stream Special Report in Philly Inquirer http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=74812 ******************************Added 1032pm Dec 10 2005 EUSWX thread: Go to this site and tell me if you're able to save loops, please http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=73254 EUSWX Link Dec 18 2005 *********************** Truckee California I-80 Web Cam http://www.magnifeye.com/ Bill May Renew U.S. Weather Control Efforts http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,178183,00.html Govt wx control efforts MetEd Home Page http://meted.ucar.edu/ Great snow pic too!!! GoSki.com::Worldwide Skiing Resource!! http://www.goski.com/ Dec 18 2005 ************************** UnFREEz 2.1 http://www.whitsoftdev.com/unfreez/ ********************************************************************* Cornell University Web Cam: WebCamLink <span style='color:red'>Storm2K.org: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/index.php WxChat: http://www.wxchat.com/ </span> Ahh, Check this out.... 1996 Blizzard http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=74531 January 1996 Blizzard Jan 1996 Bliz John's NH Weather (Added 923pm Dec 11 2005.) http://www.johnsnhweather.com/ Maritimes Weather members gallery. COOL!! http://www.maritimesweather.com/4images/de....php?image_id=5 CoolWx Stats http://www.coolwx.com/usstats/ Home Page for The Weather and Climate of Davis 3SE, Tucker County, WV, located at the 3700-ft summit of Canaan Mountain (Added at 1131pm on Nov 16 2005.) http://canaanweather.4t.com/ The Joint Typhoon Warning Center http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html <span style='color:blue'>The Physical Environment (TOC) Added 827pm Dec 2 '04) http://www.uwsp.edu/geo/faculty/ritter/geo...k/contents.html </span> The National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov Hurricane/Typhoon site link: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html Naval Central Meteorology and Oceanography Detachment Diego Garcia Click where it says Oparea https://207.133.112.31/ <span style='color:red'>OHIO State University graphic temperature maps Example of one!!! http://www.weatherimages.org/data/imag226.html </span> Shane Adams' Storm Chasing Site!!! Check it out!! http://www.passiontwist.us/ Mike Naso's Hurricane Replenishing Project (HRP) http://www.freewebs.com/hurricanereplenish...oject/index.htm http://www.geocities.com/crispkellym/hurricanecharley.html WFOR Homepage http://www.cbs4.com/ Hurricane JEANNE blog http://www.wfor.com/scenesetter Current Snow/Ice Cover in North America http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/SNOW/DATA/cursnow_usa.gif INTERESTING IMAGES http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery...7.1015.500m.jpg --------------------------------------- Added 642pm Oct 20 2005 DT's Modeltracker http://wxrisk.com/meteopage.html Hurricane Wilma - Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Wilma The article's history http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=...&action=history Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html Check out his Oct 20 2005 entry about Hurricane Wilma. Wikipedia User: Baylink http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Baylink Baylink's Blog http://baylink.pitas.com/ Sure I know the above 2 links have nothing to do with weather, but what the hell. In this Eastern US Weather Forums thread, the poster aslkahuna gives an excellent description of EXPLOSIVE DEEPENING: Explosive deepening - a question or two http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=59477 -------------------------------- PHILADELPHIA WEATHER BLOG (Added at 958pm Oct 24 2005.) http://philadelphiaweather.blogspot.com/ Analog96's [Greg's] EUSWX profile and website: (Added 847pm Nov 3 2005.) http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showuser=820 http://hurri.kean.edu/~gpetridi/ Advances in Microwave Remote Sensing: Ocean Wind Speed and Direction http://www.meted.ucar.edu/npoess/ocean_winds/ -------------- ------
  23. Frances Weakens, Ivan Strengthens 8:43 P.M. ET Wed.,Sep.8,2004 Alan Rios, Meteorologist, The Weather Channel Remnants of Frances continues to affect the northeast part of the country. Heaviest rains have been occuring north and west of the track. Expect the flooding rains to affect Western Pennsylvania into northern New England as we go into Thursday. In the meantime, Hurricane Ivan is a major hurricane and listed as a category 4 in the Southern Caribbean. This is one system that we will have to watch very carefully. Right now, it looks as if it will track across the Western Caribbean and possibly head into the Gulf of Mexico. Jamaica and Cuba may be in the path of this storm. Latest reconnaissance information continues to show the hurricane strengthening and moving in a westerly direction. Keep it tuned to The Weather Channel for the latest. Source: http://www.weather.com/
  24. Frances' Departs, Watching Ivan 5:55 P.M. ET 9/8/2004 Alan Rios, Meteorologist, The Weather Channel Northeast We finally should hear the last from Frances Thursday as the system becomes extratropical (non-tropical) and, dragging a cold front through the Northeast, scoots into Quebec. Heavy rain will continue to dog much of New York and New England through Thursday, but should diminish in intensity toward evening. Elsewhere, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will prevail. On Friday, good news: vastly improved or improving weather will blanket the region. South Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to parade across storm-weary Florida Thursday. A few showers may linger in the waterlogged Appalachians, but the remainder of the South will enjoy pleasant conditions as Frances recedes into grim-memory status. High temperatures will be near seasonal levels with readings in the 80s. Along the Gulf Coast and interior of the Florida Peninsula, expect highs in the 90's. Midwest Except for a handful of morning showers in eastern Ohio and eastern Kentucky, dry weather with a plethora of sunshine will grace the Midwest and Great Plains tomorrow. A ridge of high pressure will dominate the Midwest while a moisture-deprived trough of low pressure pushes into the northern Plains. High temperatures are expected to range from slightly below average in the upper Ohio Valley to well above seasonal means on the Plains. Maxima in the 70s will be widespread in the Midwest while readings in the 90s are expected to bake western Nebraska and western Kansas. West Except for a stray shower here and there in western Washington, Thursday will be another dry day throughout the West. High temperatures are forecast to range from near to well above average with largest positive departures over the Great Basin, eastern Montana, Wyoming and Colorado. High temperatures in the lower elevations should range from the 60s in western Washington to the 90s in the Sacramento Valley and parts of the Great Basin to over 100 in the San Joaquin Valley and deserts of the Southwest. Source: http://www.weather.com/
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