Jump to content
ScienceWeather

Hurricane KARL Discussion 33 5PM EDT


Jeb
 Share

Recommended Posts

Hurricane KARL

 

000

WTNT42 KNHC 242041

TCDAT2

HURRICANE KARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 33

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

 

THERE ARE JUST SOME VERY SMALL SLIVERS OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING

NEAR THE CENTER. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NEAR OR JUST UNDER

65 KT AND THE 18Z WIND SPEED IS SET AT 65 KNOTS. KARL IS NOW OVER

WATER LESS THAN 20 DEGREES C AND CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED.

KARL IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

 

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 360/26. KARL IS EXPECTED TO TURN

NORTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS AND MERGE WITH

ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE GLOBAL TRACK MODELS ARE IN

EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ABOUT THIS.

 

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS

FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS

HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 

FORECASTER LAWRENCE

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

 

INITIAL 24/2100Z 47.3N 40.4W 65 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL

12HR VT 25/0600Z 51.0N 38.4W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

24HR VT 25/1800Z 56.0N 32.2W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

36HR VT 26/0600Z 60.5N 21.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

48HR VT 26/1800Z 64.0N 6.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

72HR VT 27/1800Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

 

 

$$

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...