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Tropical Cyclone 02S (Indian Ocean)


Jeb
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INDIAN OCEAN

 

 

WTXS31 PGTW 290300

MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 005

01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

---

WARNING POSITION:

290000Z1 --- NEAR 8.3S1 41.1E6

MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS

POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM

POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT

DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REPEAT POSIT: 8.3S1 41.1E6

---

FORECASTS:

12 HRS, VALID AT:

291200Z4 --- 8.1S9 38.4E5

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT

DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

---

REMARKS:

290300Z4 POSITION NEAR 8.3S1 40.4E8.

TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH-

EAST OF DAR ES SALAAM, TANZANIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16

KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON

282330Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING

INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF

25 AND 30 KNOTS. A 281505Z1 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES AN OPEN

WAVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR. RECENT ANIMATED WATER

VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THERE IS NO LONGER ANY

CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM. THE

REMNANTS OF TC 02S ARE FORECAST TO MOVE OVER LAND WITHIN THE

NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS

14 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT

TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE

CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//

NNNN

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