Jump to content
ScienceWeather

Just keeping an eye out.....


Jeb
 Share

Recommended Posts

ABIO10 PGTW 011300

MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//

SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN

/OCEAN REISSUED/011300Z-011800ZNOV2004//

RMKS/

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF

AFRICA):

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.4N8

67.5E8, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 68.2E6, APPROXIMATELY 725 NM WEST-

NORTHWEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A

011028Z2 AMSU-B MICROWAVE SATELLITE PASS REVEAL DEEP CONVECTION HAS

BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED AROUND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).

RECENT UPPER ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR

AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH AND WEST QUADRANTS.

HOWEVER, 010600Z7 SHIP OBSERVATIONS IN THE VICINITY OF THE SYSTEM

REPORTED 10 TO 15 KNOTS. ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A LINE OF

STRONG CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLCC AND MASS AROUND THE ENTIRE

SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO FLOW RADIALLY OUTWARDS. GIVEN THE RECENT TREND

IN SATELLITE IMAGERY, MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO

25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE

POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.

(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. NONE.

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE 1.B.(1) TO FAIR.

RELEASED BY: CAPT LEFFLER, USAF.

FORECAST TEAM: LEFFLER/CHRISTIAN/LEWIN//

 

NNNN

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...