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Tropical Depression OTTO Discussion 8


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Tropical Depression OTTO

 

 

000

WTNT41 KNHC 021420

TCDAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 8

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

10 AM EST THU DEC 02 2004

 

HIGH-RESOLUTION DATA FROM A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS JUST AFTER 09Z

INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE CIRCULATION HAVE NOW DROPPED

BELOW GALE FORCE. THE SYSTEM IS ESSENTIALLY DEVOID OF DEEP

CONVECTION...SO OTTO IS DEGENERATING INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE

SYSTEM. STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD PREVENT ANY

SIGNIFICANT REGENERATION OF THE CYCLONE.

 

THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING A LITTLE WEST OF SOUTH OVER THE PAST

SEVERAL HOURS. A SLOW AND GENERALLY SOUTHWARD MOTION IS FORECAST

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE OTTO'S REMNANTS CONTINUE TO SPIN

DOWN. BASED ON THE CURRENT MOTION...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS

A LITTLE TO THE WEST OF THE GUIDANCE.

 

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON OTTO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE

REMNANT LOW OF OTTO CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO

HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 

FORECASTER PASCH

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

 

INITIAL 02/1500Z 28.8N 50.6W 30 KT...DISSIPATING

12HR VT 03/0000Z 27.8N 50.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW

24HR VT 03/1200Z 26.7N 50.6W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW

36HR VT 04/0000Z 25.5N 50.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW

48HR VT 04/1200Z 24.5N 50.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW

72HR VT 05/1200Z 24.0N 50.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW

96HR VT 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

 

 

$$

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