Jeb Posted June 13, 2005 Report Share Posted June 13, 2005 After last year’s record-breaking hurricane season where four hurricanes struck Florida in just six weeks, the big question on everyone’s mind is what’s going to happen this year. Unfortunately, both the National Weather Service (NWS) and Dr. William Gray (a professor at Colorado State University and renowned hurricane forecaster) are predicting another above-normal hurricane season for the Atlantic. The consensus is that there will be 12-15 tropical storms, with 7-9 becoming hurricanes, and 3-5 of these becoming major hurricanes. Dr. Gray indicates that if El Nino conditions don’t develop, those numbers may need to be forecasted upwards. In addition to monitoring the status of El Nino to forecast tropical storm development, Dr. Gray’s team analyzes sea surface temperatures, pressure and winds from around the globe, as well as matches the weather patterns from this pre-hurricane season with past years since hindsight has proven to be a strong indicator. And while Dr. Gray and the NWS are constantly improving their forecasts of the number and type of storms the Atlantic may encounter, there is still no proven model that forecasts what paths these storms are going to follow. We can only hope that Floridians will be spared this year so they can continue to focus on repairing their homes and businesses from last year’s devastation. Hurricane season by name begins on June 1 and ends on November 30, with the peak months for tropical storm development in the Atlantic being August through October. ----------------------------------------- Do you have a question about WeatherBug? Visit http://www.weatherbug.com/help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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