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Tropical Cyclone Warning concerning NANMADOL


Jeb
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SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

WTPN31 PGTW 300300

1. TYPHOON 30W (NANMADOL) WARNING NR 006

01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

---

WARNING POSITION:

300000Z3 --- NEAR 8.5N3 141.0E6

MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 20 KTS

POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM

POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT

RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N3 141.0E6

---

FORECASTS:

12 HRS, VALID AT:

301200Z6 --- 9.6N5 137.8E9

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT

RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM

RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS

---

24 HRS, VALID AT:

010000Z1 --- 10.6N7 134.4E2

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT

RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM

RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS

---

36 HRS, VALID AT:

011200Z4 --- 11.6N8 131.0E5

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT

RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM

RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 17 KTS

---

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

48 HRS, VALID AT:

020000Z2 --- 12.7N0 127.7E7

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT

RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM

RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS

---

72 HRS, VALID AT:

030000Z3 --- 15.5N1 121.6E0

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT

RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER

RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

OVER WATER

045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

OVER WATER

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

OVER WATER

120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

OVER WATER

VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS

---

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY

NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.

---

96 HRS, VALID AT:

040000Z4 --- 19.7N7 119.9E0

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT

VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS

---

120 HRS, VALID AT:

050000Z5 --- 23.9N4 123.5E1

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT

---

REMARKS:

300300Z6 POSITION NEAR 8.8N6 140.2E7. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE

HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PHNC FOR ADDI­

TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.

NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2, 301500Z9, 302100Z6 AND 010300Z4.

//

BT

#0001

NNNN

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