Jeb Posted January 26, 2005 Report Share Posted January 26, 2005 DCA and F/M/A snowfall http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17615 (zwyts)One of the biggest issues with using statistical constructs to analyze weather is the determination of what is trivial versus what is meaningful. I may come up with one conclusion based on a set of data, while another set of seemingly meaningful data will lead to an opposite conclusion. There are ways to limit the triviality of data, but when it comes to weather it isn't easy, particularly in light of the fact that accurate records only go back to the late 1800's, thus limiting sample size. Nevertheless, we can try to come up with relevant, or at the very least, interesting ways of looking at possible weather outcomes. So far this winter(through January 23rd) we have received 3.9" at DCA. Let us assume that we end January with 5" or less for the winter(I know, big assumption given several possibilities over the next week). Official snowfall records have been kept in DC since 1887-88, or 117 winters. Of those, 16 winters have had 3-5" at the end of January(average was 4.4"). This is about 4.5" shy of where we should be at the end of January(around 9"), or only 50% of normal. However, these 17 winters averaged 9.5" in February/March/April, about 2" above normal for that time period or about 130% of normal. Consequently, these 16 winters which averaged only about 50% of normal at the end of January, finished the winter at 14.1" or almost 90% of normal(16.2" is the seasonal average since the official measuring station was moved to DCA in the early 1940's). Certainly by no means conclusive and in fact potentially irrelevant come next Monday, January 31st should we get another decent snowfall, but for now another piece of hope for DC snow lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 27, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2005 Snowcover maps, etc http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17823 CTshoreWx posted this interesting snow maps link: http://www.nohrsc.nws.gov/interactive/html/map.html Pretty interesting. ---- Cape Cod pics... http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17848 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 27, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2005 from Mike Dross http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17696&st=0 DIE MIKE DROSS, DIE BIATCH!!!! ---- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 27, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2005 Lunchtime errand, picking up KU Vol I & II!!! http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17783 (hooralph)Gorgeous day here. 4 +" on the ground. I had a lunchtime errand to run - to return something over to the AMC headquarters on Beacon Hill. So I did something I've been meaning to do for quite sometime - call the AMS headquarters (located on Beacon Hill) and see if I could just pick up the Kocin book there. Sure enough, I could. So I just had an amazing winter walk across the Public Garden and Boston Common - 2 + feet of fresh powder, much of it unbroken, with a light snow falling. Besides a bunch more pictures I'll post later, the fruits of my walk are now on my desk - our bible, as it is. Classical post by hooralph. I hope he gets nailed by record snows every winter 1000+ percent over BOS climo. ------- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 27, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2005 WOW, What a classical EUSWX thread! A Cape Cod Eastern Mass winter, Looks like New Foundland http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...22entry181422 Another great EUSWX thread. Wow what a tremendous sat pic of the Cape region after the Blizzard of 2005. No, I'm not gonna post the pic here, that sucker is way too BIG. NASA Super Hi-RES Photo of MA/CT/RI http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17918 ---------- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 27, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2005 For the southern crew... http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17921 (VAwxman)Big changes have occurred in the weather pattern recently that point to everyone being in the game for some wintry fun. All winter long we have seen the +NAO, which while not always necessary for southern snows, is extremely unfavorable. The Southeast ridge, along with its buddy, the ridge over southwestern Europe, seemed to be resistant to all attacks. Well, things have evolved nicely, and without reviewing everything, suffice it to say that this was the time we all were pointing to for some true winter. The NAO has gone negative for the first time, and has a chance at remaining that was at least for a little while, and the dreaded Southeast ridge has bitten the dust. In the last few days though, another critical piece of the puzzle has shown up. We will have more troughing in western Europe than we have seen in a more consistent fashion. End result of all of this is that, for now, those who always expect to see a northward shift in the models may be left disappointed. It's a different pattern now, for awhile anyway, with southern stream energy in play. That doesn't mean I expect the NOGAPS to verify, as it is extremely suppressed looking in any pattern. The point is, regardless of those who say the lower MA is not in play, these areas are in fact in the game. Different patterns put different people in play, and this pattern has at least opened the door for the rest of us who have been left out of the fun. Hopefully that door can stay open for awhile. ----- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 27, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2005 Wow check out zwyts' snow pics! OLD snow pics thread, 1973, 1983, 1996..UPDATE..PICS RESIZED http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...13entry182013 Current happenings, better than models http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17959 I will never call the ETA the Nam http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17927 NE AL/N GA/N SC/NC/VA First Call, PRECIP TYPES ONLY http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17942 East Coast gets crushed by the UKMET http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17915 ----- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 28, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 28, 2005 Brent broke his wrist Check out MdWx's comments! ROFLMAO!! http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17964 Zwyts 2004-2005 Winter Outlook, Posted at WWBB on 9/13 http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=6083&st=20 What would happen if the Earth stopped spinning? http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17974 Radar Trends.., profess analysis please? http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?ac...t=0#entry182275 ---------------------------------------- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 28, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 28, 2005 What exactly is a "brickhouse" http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=221 What can I say? Freaky's got the song down. She's a brick----houseMighty might just lettin' it all hang out She's a brick----house The lady's stacked and that's a fact, Ain't holding nothing back. She's a brick----house She's the one, the only one, Who's built like a black amazon We're together everybody knows, And here's how the story goes. She knows she got everything a woman needs to get a man, yeah. How can she use, the things she use 36-24-36, what a winning hand! She's a brick----house Mighty might just lettin' it all hang out She's a brick----house The lady's stacked and that's a fact, Ain't holding nothing back. She's a brick----house She's the one, the only one, Who's built like a black amazon We're together everybody knows, And here's how the story goes. The clothes she wears, the sexy ways, Make an old man wish for younger days She knows she's built and knows how to please Sure enough to knock a man to his knees She's a brick----house Mighty might just lettin' it all hang out She's a brick----house The lady's stacked and that's a fact, Ain't holding nothing back. She's a brick----house She's the one, the only one, Who's built like a black amazon We're together everybody knows, And here's how the story goes. Shake it down, shake it down now (repeat) Eastern US Weather Forums are one hell of a trip!!! ---- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 28, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 28, 2005 rgem very impressive... http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18015 eek, some questions mano a mano http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=17846 ------------------ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 29, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2005 00z mm5 realy plasters NC with prolonged storm... http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...01entry184501 HKY provided a really cool mm5 link here.... ------- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 30, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2005 In a bit of a hurry tonight.... http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?ac...=20#entry186150 http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18171 ---------------------- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 30, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2005 Zonties and his bodybuilding....... Reference this EUSWX thread: Well, here is a pic of me http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18318 Picture of Zonties on his Yahoo Profile: http://profiles.yahoo.com/Zonties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 30, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2005 storm2k is the best wxboard on the net!!! http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18174 Eastern US Wx News - January 2005, Get it while it's hot! http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...pic=18072&st=20 Harrisburg Drivers are f*****g Morons http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18365 Coveted February is on the door step http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...pic=18424&st=20 Digital camera recommendations http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?sh...=0entry187813 MY CALL: SAT/SUN EVENT, SNOW/ICE MAP -Ruggieweather http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18060 Obs GA/TN/SC/NC/AL/VA, Jan 28-29 http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18139 Ok back from smack~~jittery, but not from that http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18371 Northern Va / DC/ MD/ PA Obs http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18302 -------- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeb Posted January 31, 2005 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2005 edh1981 This son of a bitch is a MAJOR LEAGUE fuckup no doubt. First this bastard goes and posts pure bullshit about heavy snow on Jan 29. http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18298&st=0 Then today (Jan 30) he comes back with this shit about how his forecast verified. http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=18437 Sure edh u just verified ur a first class asswipe, that's what just verified. Check out his "snow map" on his so-called "weather site" http://mysite.verizon.net/res8ugut/index.html SOB's so fucked up his own asshole that he doesn't even have his own domain name!! How old is this first class douchebag? 12? 14? Whatever!! Hey dicksucker ballblowing shitface sucker if you ever try to remove that sorry snowmap on ur shitty website, I've already got it on my server so don't even think to remove it. DEAL. edh's sorry sig contains his so-called birthdate, 23 August 1981. ROFLOMBO!!!! Let me get this straight. edh1981 is a 23-year-old phallic sac? U gotta be kiddin' me. Ur 23 yrs old and u got that "weather website" that's all full of shit? And that unbelievable childish snowmap? Please EUSWX, spare us...........BAN this douchebag immediately!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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