Jeb

Typhoon 0424 NOCK-TEN (0424) Date: 10-26-04 Updated: 12:27 PM (04:27 UTC) 10-min. Date/Time Max Winds Direction of Pressure (in UTC) Position (in Kts) Movement (Kts) (in mb) Status Remarks ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 14/0000Z 10.0N/164.0E .. NW Slowly 1008 TropDep Initial 14/0600Z 10.0N/163.0E .. W 10 1004 TropDep Organizing 14/1200Z 11.7N/161.7E 30 WNW 08 1002 TropDep ... 14/1800Z 11.8N/161.7E 30 WNW Slowly 1002 TropDep Quasi-Stnry 15/0000Z 11.8N/161.4E 30 W Slowly 1002 TropDep ... 15/0600Z 11.5N/160.0E 30 W 10 1002 TropDep Accelerated 15/1200Z 11.6N/159.3E 30 W 06 1002 TropDep Slowed Down 15/1800Z 11.7N/158.5E 30 W 07 1000 TropDep Strengthening 16/0000Z 11.5N/157.5E 30 W 09 1000 TropDep ... 16/0600Z 11.3N/156.5E 30 W 10 1000 TropDep Bcmng Trop Storm 16/1200Z 10.9N/155.0E 35 WSW 15 996 TropStm Upgraded 16/1800Z 10.6N/154.4E 45 WSW 06 990 TropStm Intensified 17/0000Z 10.5N/154.2E 45 W Slowly 990 TropStm Slowed Down 17/0600Z 10.6N/154.1E 45 W Slowly 990 TropStm ... 17/1200Z 10.6N/153.3E 45 W 07 990 TropStm Accelerated 17/1800Z 10.6N/152.8E 45 W Slowly 990 TropStm Slowed Down 18/0000Z 10.4N/152.4E 50 WSW Slowly 985 SeveStm Upgraded 18/0600Z 10.2N/151.8E 65 WSW 06 970 Typhoon Upgraded 18/1200Z 10.2N/151.1E 70 W 06 965 Typhoon Intensified 18/1800Z 10.2N/149.9E 70 W 11 965 Typhoon Accelerated 19/0000Z 09.8N/148.8E 70 WSW 12 965 Typhoon Changed Course 19/0600Z 09.4N/148.1E 70 WSW 07 965 Typhoon Slowed Down 19/1200Z 09.7N/147.2E 70 WNW 09 965 Typhoon Changed Course 19/1800Z 10.2N/146.0E 70 WNW 12 965 Typhoon Accelerating 20/0000Z 10.7N/145.1E 75 WNW 10 955 Typhoon Intensified 20/0600Z 11.4N/144.0E 75 WNW 12 955 Typhoon Accelerated 20/1200Z 11.8N/142.9E 75 WNW 11 955 Typhoon ... 20/1800Z 12.4N/141.9E 75 WNW 11 955 Typhoon ... 21/0000Z 13.3N/140.5E 75 WNW 13 955 Typhoon Accelerated 21/0600Z 13.8N/139.0E 75 WNW 15 955 Typhoon Accelerated 21/1200Z 13.9N/138.3E 70 W 06 960 Typhoon Weakened 21/1800Z 14.5N/137.3E 70 WNW 11 960 Typhoon Accelerated 22/0000Z 15.2N/136.6E 70 NW 09 960 Typhoon ... 22/0600Z 15.8N/135.8E 75 NW 10 955 Typhoon Intensified 22/1200Z 16.4N/134.8E 75 WNW 11 955 Typhoon ... 22/1800Z 17.0N/133.8E 75 WNW 11 955 Typhoon ... 23/0000Z 17.4N/132.3E 85 WNW 14 945 Typhoon Intnsfd/Acclrtd 23/0600Z 18.0N/130.9E 85 WNW 14 945 Typhoon ... 23/1200Z 18.7N/129.3E 85 WNW 16 945 Typhoon Accelerated 23/1800Z 19.4N/127.7E 85 WNW 16 945 Typhoon ... 24/0000Z 20.0N/126.0E 85 WNW 17 945 Typhoon ... 24/0600Z 20.8N/124.5E 85 WNW 16 945 Typhoon ... 24/1200Z 21.8N/123.2E 80 NW 15 950 Typhoon Changing Track 24/1800Z 22.8N/122.4E 80 NW 12 950 Typhoon Slowed Down 25/0000Z 24.2N/122.2E 70 N 14 970 Typhoon Weakened 25/0600Z 25.4N/121.8E 60 NNW 10 985 SeveStm Downgraded 25/1200Z 26.1N/122.3E 55 N 07 992 SeveStm Weakened 25/1800Z 27.9N/123.8E 50 NE 22 994 SeveStm Accelerated 26/0000Z 28.3N/126.0E 50 E 20 996 SeveStm ...

Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 261427 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 26 2004 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS MOVED INLAND NEAR LOS MOCHIS AND DISSIPATED. THERE ARE ONLY A FEW SMALL AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING AND THESE ARE ARE MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 26.3N 108.7W 20 KT...DISSIPATED $$

No tropical troubles 6:11 p.m. ET ET Tue.,Oct.26,2004 Tom Moore, Senior Meteorologist, The Weather Channel There are no significant tropical threats. A depression in the eastern Pacific has dissipated. Mid- and high-level moisture from this system has pushed into the central U. S.

Plenty of precipitation is headed for the Rockies and the Southwest 9:12 P.M. ET 10/26/2004 Tom Moore, Senior Meteorologist, The Weather Channel West Much of the West will pick up some badly needed rain and snow on Wednesday. Only Washington, northern Idaho, western Montana, northern California and southwest Arizona seem likely to remain dry. Heavy snow is expected in the mountains of Southern California (above 5500 feet), the southern Sierra Nevada, the higher elevations of southern Nevada, and the mountains of Utah. Winter storm warnings are posted for a number of locations. Up to two feet of fresh snow has buried the higher elevations around Lake Tahoe in the Sierras. In lower elevations, locally heavy rain is forecast for Southern California. Isolated eight-inch rain totals (and flash flooding) are possible in the mountains near L.A. and San Diego. Be careful if you take to the roadways in the morning. South A weak front draped from West Texas through the mid-South will continue to provide a focus for scattered showers and thundershowers as tropical moisture continues to ride in. Another weak boundary extending from a low in the Ohio Valley southward to Alabama will provide a second focus, with a few showers reaching eastward over the southern Appalachians. Most of this rain will be on the light side, however. Mostly sunny skies seem likely over the Florida Peninsula, and in southern Mississippi, Louisiana and eastern Texas. High temperatures should range from the 60s in much of North Carolina to the low 90s in far south Texas. Temperatures topping out in the upper 80s along and near the Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coasts may lead to more record highs there. Midwest Rain will move out of most of the Plains and Midwest on Wednesday but some cloudiness will remain. Showers will linger in the upper Ohio Valley as a weak low-pressure center struggles to move eastward. High temperatures are likely to be near to somewhat above late October averages, ranging from the 40s in northeast Minnesota to the 70s in the lower Ohio Valley, southern Missouri and Kansas. Northeast A strong ridge of high pressure will result in clearing skies across Northern New England and Upstate New York, while farther south a few showers may dampen parts of West Virginia and Virginia. Elsewhere, partly to mostly cloudy skies will prevail. High temperatures will continue to run near seasonal averages, ranging from the 40s in northern Maine to the 60s from New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania southward.

Typhoon NOCK-TEN (28W) Date: 10-26-04 Updated: 6:32 AM (22:32 UTC) 1-min.Winds Warning Date/Time (in Knots) Direction of Number (in UTC) Position Sust. Gust Movement (Kts) Status Remarks ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ... 13/1130Z 06.7N/165.5E 20 25 WNW 04 TropDis TCFA 001 14/0000Z 08.7N/162.5E 25 35 W 14 TropDep Initial 002 14/0600Z 10.0N/161.4E 30 40 NW 13 TropDep Intensified 003 14/1200Z 10.4N/160.5E 30 40 WNW 10 TropDep ... 004 14/1800Z 11.0N/159.6E 30 40 WNW 11 TropDep Organizing 005 15/0000Z 11.8N/159.0E 30 40 NW 10 TropDep ... 006 15/0600Z 11.9N/158.7E 30 40 NW 06 TropDep Slowed Down 007 15/1200Z 11.5N/158.1E 30 40 W 07 TropDep Changed Course 008 15/1800Z 10.8N/159.7E 30 40 W 03 TropDep Relocated East 009 16/0000Z 11.1N/158.3E 30 40 W 06 TropDep Disorganized 010 16/0600Z 11.0N/156.5E 35 45 W 10 TropStm Upgraded 011 16/1200Z 10.9N/155.3E 40 50 W 12 TropStm Intensified 012 16/1800Z 10.3N/154.9E 45 55 SW 09 TropStm Intensified 013 17/0000Z 10.6N/154.4E 50 65 W 05 TropStm Slowed Down 014 17/0600Z 10.6N/153.8E 55 70 W 06 TropStm Intensified 015 17/1200Z 10.8N/153.2E 60 75 W 07 TropStm Bcmng Typhoon 016 17/1800Z 10.6N/152.8E 60 75 WSW 04 TropStm Slowed Down 017 18/0000Z 10.3N/152.5E 65 80 SW 04 Typhoon Upgraded 018 18/0600Z 10.2N/151.8E 75 90 WSW 05 Typhoon Small Ragged Eye 019 18/1200Z 10.1N/150.9E 85 105 W 08 Typhoon Acclrtd/Intnsfd 020 18/1800Z 10.1N/149.8E 85 105 W 11 Typhoon Accelerated 021 19/0000Z 09.8N/148.5E 85 105 W 12 Typhoon 09-NM. Eye/C,R* 022 19/0600Z 09.7N/148.0E 90 110 W 05 Typhoon CDO above Eye 023 19/1200Z 09.8N/147.1E 90 110 W 08 Typhoon Accelerated 024 19/1800Z 10.2N/146.0E 90 110 WNW 11 Typhoon Accelerated 025 20/0000Z 10.7N/145.1E 95 115 WNW 10 Typhoon Intensified 026 20/0600Z 11.6N/144.0E 95 115 NW 14 Typhoon Accelerated 027 20/1200Z 12.1N/142.6E 95 115 WNW 15 Typhoon ... 028 20/1800Z 12.6N/141.9E 95 115 NW 08 Typhoon Slowed Down 029 21/0000Z 13.4N/140.7E 95 115 NW 14 Typhoon Accelerated 030 21/0600Z 13.7N/139.2E 95 115 WNW 14 Typhoon Changed Course 031 21/1200Z 14.1N/138.3E 90 110 WNW 11 Typhoon Weakened 032 21/1800Z 14.7N/137.4E 95 115 NW 11 Typhoon Re-intensified 033 22/0000Z 15.3N/136.5E 95 115 NW 11 Typhoon ... 034 22/0600Z 15.8N/135.7E 100 125 NW 09 Typhoon Intensified 035 22/1200Z 16.4N/134.8E 100 125 NW 11 Typhoon Eye bcmng clear 036 22/1800Z 16.9N/133.8E 100 125 WNW 11 Typhoon ... 037 23/0000Z 17.4N/132.3E 110 135 WNW 15 Typhoon Accelerated 038 23/0600Z 18.0N/130.9E 110 135 WNW 15 Typhoon ... 039 23/1200Z 18.6N/129.3E 105 130 WNW 16 Typhoon Weakened 040 23/1800Z 19.3N/127.7E 105 130 WNW 17 Typhoon ... 041 24/0000Z 20.0N/126.0E 105 130 WNW 17 Typhoon Nears Taiwan 042 24/0600Z 20.6N/124.5E 105 130 WNW 15 Typhoon Slowing Down 043 24/1200Z 21.7N/123.2E 105 130 NW 16 Typhoon Changing Track 044 24/1800Z 22.7N/122.4E 100 125 NW 12 Typhoon Weakened 045 25/0000Z 24.2N/122.3E 90 110 N 15 Typhoon Near Taipei 046 25/0600Z 25.5N/122.0E 85 105 N 13 Typhoon Weakened 047 25/1200Z 26.1N/122.1E 65 80 NNE 08 Typhoon Recurving 048 25/1800Z 27.4N/123.2E 60 75 NE 14 TropStm Downgraded

WDPN32 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 28W /WARNING NR 47// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 251200Z0 TO 281200Z3 OCT 2004. A. TYPHOON (TY) 28W (NOCK-TEN), LOCATED OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF TAIWAN AND APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 251200Z0 RADAR IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS WITH A 12 KNOT REDUCTION TO REFLECT GREATER EMPHASIS ON DVORAK FINAL-T INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS AND THE RAPID WEAKENING OF TY 28W. TY 28W HAS STARTED TO RECURVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND IS WEAKENING. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TY 28W HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISHED AND THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SATELLITE, RADAR AND MICROWAVE FIX POSITIONS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER LEVEL STRUC- TURE OF THE SYSTEM MAY BE GETTING DECOUPLED FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS TY 28W ENCOUNTERS STRONG WESTER- LIES OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. B. TY 28W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT CONTINUES TO RECURVE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE AND ENCOUNTER THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 28W WILL TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, JGSM, JTYM, UKMET, AFWA MM5 AND TCLAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO THROUGH TAU 24. MODEL FORECASTS OF THE BAROCLINIC INTERACTION RESULT IN DIVERGENCE OF FORECAST TRACKS BEYOND TAU 24. UKMET, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, JTYM AND NOGAPS EMBED TY 28W INTO THE BAROCLINIC ZONE BY TAU 48. GFDN FORECASTS A DECOUPLING OF THE SYSTEM, WITH THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS BECOMING EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE FLOW AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION TRACKING AROUND THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN ANTI- CYCLONE THAT DEVELOPS OVER CHINA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS PLACED ON GFDN AFTER TAU 24. TY 28w IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY TAU 36. C. THE INTENSITY OF TY 28W IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY DECREASE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS DRY AIR, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INTERACTS WITH THE MID- LATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 251058Z1 SSM/I PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVER- AGE SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. FORECAST TEAM: DXION/FJELD/VOHS// NNNN

Eastern Pacific Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 252238 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 3 PM PDT MON OCT 25 2004 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E. THE INTENSITY OF 30 KT AND CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1004 MB ARE BASED ON OFFSHORE WINDS OF 20 KT FROM MAZATLAN LOCATED 130 NMI EAST OF THE CENTER...AND A PRESSURE OF 1005.4 MB FROM LA PAZ LOCATED 60 NMI SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN ORGANIZATION AND DEPTH IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...WITH NUMEROUS CLOUD TOPS COLDER THAN -80C NOTED. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 010/16. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT LIES EAST-WEST ACROSS CENTRAL MEXICO. AN APPROACHING DEEP-LAYER TROUGH WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD ALSO HELP TO GRADUALLY ACCELERATE THE CYCLONE AND ITS EVENTUAL REMNANTS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE U.S. SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF ALTATA MEXICO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...ALONG WITH LAND INTERACTION...SHOULD INHIBIT ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING. HOWEVER...THERE IS ALREADY ENOUGH COLD CONVECTION TO POSSIBLY ALLOW THE DEPRESSION TO REACH MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STORM STRENGTH JUST PRIOR TO IT MAKING LANDFALL. NOTE...THE PRIMARY THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING. SOME OF THE MOISTURE FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO LIKELY SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO LATER TONIGHT...AND INTO TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2200Z 23.3N 108.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 26/0600Z 25.6N 107.9W 35 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 26/1800Z 28.6N 105.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 36HR VT 27/0600Z 32.0N 102.7W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 48HR VT 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED INLAND $$

Arnold Schwarzenegger is Governor of California. President? We'll see.

This is Arnold's website http://www.operationarnold.com/home/ This is Arnold's forum http://www.operationarnold.com/freeforum/index.php

You're invited to join our political discussions. Guests can read but if they'd like to post, guests need to join up. Joining our community is fast and it's FREE!! No email validation required, just fill out the form. You better have a thick skin and one hell of a flame suit. Damn I hate Catholic priests who molest children! Hell and the Lake of Fire are too good for them and God is sick and tired of the priests who molest children. I will be posting both liberal and conservative articles from time to time.

Tonight I opened The Political Section forum within the Nearly Everything and Anything Else category, at 9pm.

VOTE GEORGE BUSH, for a better and stronger America!!

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Typhoon Nock-ten departs Taiwan 10:58 a.m. ET ET Mon.,Oct.25,2004 Buzz Bernard, Senior Meteorologist, The Weather Channel Typhoon Nock-ten (75 mph) smacked Taiwan last night (U. S. time), but is pulling away from the island now. Taipei was hammered by wind gusts in excess of 60 mph, but at last report gusts were down to 25 mph or less. Nock-ten is expected to turn sharply toward the ENE over the next 8-10 hours, missing Okinawa to the north and southern Japan (Kyushu) to the south. The storm is also forecast to continue weakening steadily and begin transitioning to an extratropical (non-tropical) system. In the eastern Pacific, a tropical disturbance located about 250 miles SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, is moving northward and could become a depression later today. In the Atlantic, the non-tropical storm that battered Bermuda yesterday has moved off to the east and is now centered about 500 miles ENE of the island. Heavy surf from the storm continues to roll into the Mid-Atlantic coast of the U. S., however.

Western rain, wind and snow 8:35 A.M. ET 10/25/2004 Matthew Newan, Senior Meteorologist, The Weather Channel West A potent storm system will push inland across the Pacific Northwest today with another round of rain, wind and mountain snow across and west of the Cascades. The storm will spread across much of the West on Tuesday, with more mountain snow and valley rain. Heavy snow is likely in the Washington and Oregon Cascades today and in the mountains of northern California and the Sierras on Tuesday. Snow levels in the Washington Cascades are expected to be in the 3000- to 4000-foot range. Elsewhere in West today, only scattered or widely scattered showers will bother areas from the Great Basin and Wyoming southward into parts of Arizona and New Mexico. Temperatures throughout the region are expected to continue to run at cooler-then-average levels. Expect the unsettled weather to reach Southern California by midweek. South The tail end of frontal boundary will combine with moisture streaming in from the tropics to bring a threat of showers and storms from Texas to the lower Mississippi Valley today. Meanwhile, generally sunny skies will prevail across the Southeast. Highs will run above late October averages due to an upper-level high pressure ridge over the region. Midwest The same ridge keeping the South warm will also extend its reach northward across the Midwest today, resulting in dry and mild conditions. A week disturbance may kick off a few showers across the U.P. of Michigan and across the northern High Plains. Highs will range from the 50s across much of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest to well into the 70s across the mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Northeast Drier weather should be in store for the Northeast today as a northwest flow scours out some of the low-level moisture that has plagued coastal areas. Milder readings will also be felt as a result. Highs will range from the 50s across much of the region to the 60s along the Mid-Atlantic coast and in Virginia... fairly common for this time of the year. Dry weather should prevail through midweek.

I am devastated.

Please see this page: http://cbs4.com/topstories/topstories_story_298193619.html

Please see these links: Maps: http://wwwa.accuweather.com/adcbin/public/...asp?type=winter More information: http://www.accuweather.com/iwxpage/adc/pre...s/wx/wx_115.htm If you live in the eastern US, it's forecast to be colder and snowier than normal.

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Typhoon NOCK-TEN (28W) Date: 10-25-04 Updated: 7:13 AM (23:13 UTC) 1-min.Winds Warning Date/Time (in Knots) Direction of Number (in UTC) Position Sust. Gust Movement (Kts) Status Remarks ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ... 13/1130Z 06.7N/165.5E 20 25 WNW 04 TropDis TCFA 001 14/0000Z 08.7N/162.5E 25 35 W 14 TropDep Initial 002 14/0600Z 10.0N/161.4E 30 40 NW 13 TropDep Intensified 003 14/1200Z 10.4N/160.5E 30 40 WNW 10 TropDep ... 004 14/1800Z 11.0N/159.6E 30 40 WNW 11 TropDep Organizing 005 15/0000Z 11.8N/159.0E 30 40 NW 10 TropDep ... 006 15/0600Z 11.9N/158.7E 30 40 NW 06 TropDep Slowed Down 007 15/1200Z 11.5N/158.1E 30 40 W 07 TropDep Changed Course 008 15/1800Z 10.8N/159.7E 30 40 W 03 TropDep Relocated East 009 16/0000Z 11.1N/158.3E 30 40 W 06 TropDep Disorganized 010 16/0600Z 11.0N/156.5E 35 45 W 10 TropStm Upgraded 011 16/1200Z 10.9N/155.3E 40 50 W 12 TropStm Intensified 012 16/1800Z 10.3N/154.9E 45 55 SW 09 TropStm Intensified 013 17/0000Z 10.6N/154.4E 50 65 W 05 TropStm Slowed Down 014 17/0600Z 10.6N/153.8E 55 70 W 06 TropStm Intensified 015 17/1200Z 10.8N/153.2E 60 75 W 07 TropStm Bcmng Typhoon 016 17/1800Z 10.6N/152.8E 60 75 WSW 04 TropStm Slowed Down 017 18/0000Z 10.3N/152.5E 65 80 SW 04 Typhoon Upgraded 018 18/0600Z 10.2N/151.8E 75 90 WSW 05 Typhoon Small Ragged Eye 019 18/1200Z 10.1N/150.9E 85 105 W 08 Typhoon Acclrtd/Intnsfd 020 18/1800Z 10.1N/149.8E 85 105 W 11 Typhoon Accelerated 021 19/0000Z 09.8N/148.5E 85 105 W 12 Typhoon 09-NM. Eye/C,R* 022 19/0600Z 09.7N/148.0E 90 110 W 05 Typhoon CDO above Eye 023 19/1200Z 09.8N/147.1E 90 110 W 08 Typhoon Accelerated 024 19/1800Z 10.2N/146.0E 90 110 WNW 11 Typhoon Accelerated 025 20/0000Z 10.7N/145.1E 95 115 WNW 10 Typhoon Intensified 026 20/0600Z 11.6N/144.0E 95 115 NW 14 Typhoon Accelerated 027 20/1200Z 12.1N/142.6E 95 115 WNW 15 Typhoon ... 028 20/1800Z 12.6N/141.9E 95 115 NW 08 Typhoon Slowed Down 029 21/0000Z 13.4N/140.7E 95 115 NW 14 Typhoon Accelerated 030 21/0600Z 13.7N/139.2E 95 115 WNW 14 Typhoon Changed Course 031 21/1200Z 14.1N/138.3E 90 110 WNW 11 Typhoon Weakened 032 21/1800Z 14.7N/137.4E 95 115 NW 11 Typhoon Re-intensified 033 22/0000Z 15.3N/136.5E 95 115 NW 11 Typhoon ... 034 22/0600Z 15.8N/135.7E 100 125 NW 09 Typhoon Intensified 035 22/1200Z 16.4N/134.8E 100 125 NW 11 Typhoon Eye bcmng clear 036 22/1800Z 16.9N/133.8E 100 125 WNW 11 Typhoon ... 037 23/0000Z 17.4N/132.3E 110 135 WNW 15 Typhoon Accelerated 038 23/0600Z 18.0N/130.9E 110 135 WNW 15 Typhoon ... 039 23/1200Z 18.6N/129.3E 105 130 WNW 16 Typhoon Weakened 040 23/1800Z 19.3N/127.7E 105 130 WNW 17 Typhoon ... 041 24/0000Z 20.0N/126.0E 105 130 WNW 17 Typhoon Nears Taiwan 042 24/0600Z 20.6N/124.5E 105 130 WNW 15 Typhoon Slowing Down 043 24/1200Z 21.7N/123.2E 105 130 NW 16 Typhoon Changing Track 044 24/1800Z 22.7N/122.4E 100 125 NW 12 Typhoon Weakened

WDPN32 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 28W /WARNING NR 45// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 250000Z7 TO 290000Z1 OCT 2004. A. TYPHOON (TY) 28W (NOCK-TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS, AND ADJUSTED DOWNWARD FOR DECREASING FINAL-T NUMBERS. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DECREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO DRY AIR INTRUSION AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. B. TY 28W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT CRESTS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, AND THEN SHARPLY RECURVE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE. TY 28W WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRA- TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE BARO- CLINIC ZONE BETWEEN TAU 24 AND TAU 36. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, JGSM, JTYM, UKMET, AFWA MM5, TCLAPS AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO THROUGH TAU 24. MODEL FORECASTS OF THE BAROCLINIC INTERACTION VARY, WITH TWO DIFFERENT SCENARIOS EMERGING. UKMET, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, WBAR, TCLAPS AND NOGAPS FORECAST A WEAK INTERACTION CONSISTENT WITH THE CURRENT WEAK SYNOPTIC ENVIRON- MENT, AND EMBED TY 28W INTO THE BAROCLINIC ZONE BY TAU 48. GFDN AND COAMPS FORECAST A COMPLETE DECOUPLING OF THE SYSTEM, WITH THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS BECOMING EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE FLOW, AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION TRACKING AROUND THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN ANTICYCLONE THAT DEVELOPS OVER CHINA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GFDN FORECASTS A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EARLY IN THE FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM IS SHEARED APART. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS PLACED ON GFDN AND COAMPS AFTER TAU 24. C. THE INTENSITY OF TY 28W IS FORECAST TO DECREASE THROUGH TAU 72 AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS DRY AIR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND INTERACTS WITH THE TERRAIN OF TAIWAN AND THE MID-LATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 242106Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. IN THE EXTENDED TAUS, TY 28W WILL BECOME EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SOUTH OF JAPAN BY TAU 72. THE INTENSITY OF TY 28W IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY DECREASE AFTER TAU 72 AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. FORECAST TEAM: BOWER/MENEBROKER/FUNK// NNNN

Strong non-tropical low continues to whip Bermuda 12:13 p.m. ET ET Sun.,Oct.24,2004 Buzz Bernard, Sr. Meteorologist, The Weather Channel A strong non-tropical low centered just northeast of Bermuda this afternoon continues to whip the island with wind gusts in excess of 50 mph. Winds peaked at 63 mph early this morning, but are expected to diminish slowly over the next 12 hours as the low drifts eastward. Only indirect effects from the storm will be felt in the U. S. Offshore gale warnings remain posted from Provincetown, Mass., to Montauk Point, N. Y. Waves along the Mid-Atlantic coast from New Jersey to North Carolina are expected to build to 12-18 feet and be accompanied by dangerous rip currents. Farther south, waves of 6-10 feet (and rip currents) will roll into northeast Florida. In the eastern Pacific, a tropical low located several hundred miles south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, is marked by cloudiness and heavy showers, but additional development of the system, if any, will be slow. In the western Pacific, small but powerful Typhoon Nock-Ten (120 mph), charging northwest out of the Philippine Sea, is nearing Taiwan. Nock-Ten is expected to crash into the northeast coast of the island this afternoon (U. S. time) with 115-mph winds and seas of 30-40 feet. The eye of the typhoon is forecast to pass over or near Taiwan late tonight (U. S. time) as the storm shifts to a more northerly track and spins into the East China Sea.

More storminess bound for West 1:48 P.M. ET 10/24/2004 Sr. Meteorologist, The Weather Channel West A Pacific front piling into Washington and Oregon tomorrow will signal the return of widespread storminess to the West. Wind, rain and mountain snow will blitz areas over and west of the Cascades Monday, but fan out to blanket much of the West on Tuesday. Heavy snow is likely in the Washington and Oregon Cascades tomorrow, and in the mountains of northern California and the Sierras on Tuesday. Snow levels in the Washington Cascades tomorrow are expected to be in the 3000- to 4000-foot range. Elsewhere in the West tomorrow, only scattered or widely scattered showers will bother areas from the Great Basin and Wyoming southward into parts of Arizona and New Mexico. Temperatures throughout the region are expected to continue to run at cooler-then-average levels. South Generally pleasant weather will prevail over the Southeast tomorrow, while an arc of scattered or widely scattered showers and thundershowers develops from the central Gulf Coast into northern Texas and extreme southern Oklahoma. The most widespread shower activity, however, is expected over West Texas as moisture from the eastern Pacific via northwest Mexico feeds into the area. High temperatures over the majority of the South are forecast to run noticeably above average, with readings in the 70s and 80s, north to south. The low 90s are expected in far south Texas. Midwest Except for a chance of a few showers developing over the western reaches of South Dakota and Nebraska, the Great Plains and Midwest should enjoy fine autumn weather tomorrow. High pressure will dominate the region with temperatures near to somewhat above seasonal means. Maxima are forecast to range from the upper-40s near the Canadian border to the 70s from the lower Ohio Valley across southern Missouri into far southeast Kansas. Northeast Sunshine will brighten much of New England tomorrow, while farther west, clouds and maybe a few sprinkles will dull the day over New York and Pennsylvania. A large storm swirling over the western Atlantic will continue to hurl heavy surf into areas from New Jersey southward (see Tropical Update), but significant windiness is unlikely. High temperatures will be near late October means, generally in the 50s and 60s, north to south.

Spam King' Ordered to Disable Spyware Sun Oct 24, 2:43 AM ET CONCORD, N.H. - A federal judge has ordered a man known as the "Spam King" to disable so-called spyware programs that infiltrate people's computers, track their Internet use and flood them with pop-up advertising. U.S. District Judge Joseph DiClerico issued a temporary restraining order Thursday against Stanford Wallace and his companies, SmartBot.net Inc. of Richboro, Pa., and Seismic Entertainment Productions Inc. of Rochester. SmartBot's principal place of business is Barrington. Prosecutors sought the injunction on behalf of the Federal Trade Commission, which targeted Wallace in its first anti-spyware action. The judge ordered Wallace to remove software code that exploits security holes in computer operating systems and Web browsers, then tracks people's Internet use to bombard them with pop-up ads. Wallace also is accused of trying to sell computer users $30 remedies called "Spy Wiper" and "Spy Deleter" that the FTC says don't work. "Spyware" describes a broad category of software that can be installed through unsafe e-mails or Web pages. It sometimes is bundled with other software that consumers download and install, such as file-sharing programs that can be used to download music and movies illegally. Spyware programs quietly monitor which Web sites a consumer visits, and some may even redirect users to different sites. They can make computers sluggish or cause them to crash. "We see it as good relief for consumers," FTC attorney Laura Sullivan said of DiClerico's order. She could not say how pervasive Wallace's spyware was. Wallace's lawyer, Ralph Jacobs of Philadelphia, said Wallace wants "to use the Internet for advertising in lawful and proper ways." "There are a wide range of advertising practices on the Internet that use some of the techniques the FTC objects to, and the defendant looks forward to an opportunity to establish exactly what advertising practices are allowable," Jacobs said. Wallace formerly headed a company called Cyber Promotions in the 1990s that sent as many as 30 million junk e-mails daily to consumers, earning him the nicknames "Spamford" and "Spam King." He left the company after lawsuits by America Online and CompuServe. The judge scheduled a hearing for Nov. 9 http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=stor..._te/ftc_spyware

Typhoon NOCK-TEN (28W) Date: 10-24-04 Updated: 7:50 AM (23:50 UTC) 1-min.Winds Warning Date/Time (in Knots) Direction of Number (in UTC) Position Sust. Gust Movement (Kts) Status Remarks ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ... 13/1130Z 06.7N/165.5E 20 25 WNW 04 TropDis TCFA 001 14/0000Z 08.7N/162.5E 25 35 W 14 TropDep Initial 002 14/0600Z 10.0N/161.4E 30 40 NW 13 TropDep Intensified 003 14/1200Z 10.4N/160.5E 30 40 WNW 10 TropDep ... 004 14/1800Z 11.0N/159.6E 30 40 WNW 11 TropDep Organizing 005 15/0000Z 11.8N/159.0E 30 40 NW 10 TropDep ... 006 15/0600Z 11.9N/158.7E 30 40 NW 06 TropDep Slowed Down 007 15/1200Z 11.5N/158.1E 30 40 W 07 TropDep Changed Course 008 15/1800Z 10.8N/159.7E 30 40 W 03 TropDep Relocated East 009 16/0000Z 11.1N/158.3E 30 40 W 06 TropDep Disorganized 010 16/0600Z 11.0N/156.5E 35 45 W 10 TropStm Upgraded 011 16/1200Z 10.9N/155.3E 40 50 W 12 TropStm Intensified 012 16/1800Z 10.3N/154.9E 45 55 SW 09 TropStm Intensified 013 17/0000Z 10.6N/154.4E 50 65 W 05 TropStm Slowed Down 014 17/0600Z 10.6N/153.8E 55 70 W 06 TropStm Intensified 015 17/1200Z 10.8N/153.2E 60 75 W 07 TropStm Bcmng Typhoon 016 17/1800Z 10.6N/152.8E 60 75 WSW 04 TropStm Slowed Down 017 18/0000Z 10.3N/152.5E 65 80 SW 04 Typhoon Upgraded 018 18/0600Z 10.2N/151.8E 75 90 WSW 05 Typhoon Small Ragged Eye 019 18/1200Z 10.1N/150.9E 85 105 W 08 Typhoon Acclrtd/Intnsfd 020 18/1800Z 10.1N/149.8E 85 105 W 11 Typhoon Accelerated 021 19/0000Z 09.8N/148.5E 85 105 W 12 Typhoon 09-NM. Eye/C,R* 022 19/0600Z 09.7N/148.0E 90 110 W 05 Typhoon CDO above Eye 023 19/1200Z 09.8N/147.1E 90 110 W 08 Typhoon Accelerated 024 19/1800Z 10.2N/146.0E 90 110 WNW 11 Typhoon Accelerated 025 20/0000Z 10.7N/145.1E 95 115 WNW 10 Typhoon Intensified 026 20/0600Z 11.6N/144.0E 95 115 NW 14 Typhoon Accelerated 027 20/1200Z 12.1N/142.6E 95 115 WNW 15 Typhoon ... 028 20/1800Z 12.6N/141.9E 95 115 NW 08 Typhoon Slowed Down 029 21/0000Z 13.4N/140.7E 95 115 NW 14 Typhoon Accelerated 030 21/0600Z 13.7N/139.2E 95 115 WNW 14 Typhoon Changed Course 031 21/1200Z 14.1N/138.3E 90 110 WNW 11 Typhoon Weakened 032 21/1800Z 14.7N/137.4E 95 115 NW 11 Typhoon Re-intensified 033 22/0000Z 15.3N/136.5E 95 115 NW 11 Typhoon ... 034 22/0600Z 15.8N/135.7E 100 125 NW 09 Typhoon Intensified 035 22/1200Z 16.4N/134.8E 100 125 NW 11 Typhoon Eye bcmng clear 036 22/1800Z 16.9N/133.8E 100 125 WNW 11 Typhoon ... 037 23/0000Z 17.4N/132.3E 110 135 WNW 15 Typhoon Accelerated 038 23/0600Z 18.0N/130.9E 110 135 WNW 15 Typhoon ... 039 23/1200Z 18.6N/129.3E 105 130 WNW 16 Typhoon Weakened 040 23/1800Z 19.3N/127.7E 105 130 WNW 17 Typhoon ...